Paul Skenes MLB projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees on Sep 28, 2024

Paul Skenes Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Earned Runs 1.5 over: -130
  • Earned Runs 1.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet

The best projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the New York Yankees.

The #5 park in the game for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

In MLB, Yankee Stadium has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

Considering that flyball hitters hold a sizeable edge over groundball pitchers, Paul Skenes and his 49.4% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult spot in today's outing going up against 1 opposing GB hitters.

The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams playing today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet

Paul Skenes projects as the best starter in the majors currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Phil Cuzzi projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yasmani Grandal (the Pirates's expected catcher today) profiles as a good pitch framer.

The 5th-deepest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in Yankee Stadium.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

Projection For Paul Skenes Earned Runs Prop Bet

Paul Skenes is projected to have 1.9 Earned Runs in this weeks game.


Paul Skenes Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Strikeouts 6.5 over: -115
  • Strikeouts 6.5 under: -111

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet

As it relates to his strikeout ability, Paul Skenes projects as the 7th-best pitcher in Major League Baseball right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Paul Skenes has averaged 94.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 88th percentile.

Phil Cuzzi projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yasmani Grandal (the Pirates's expected catcher today) profiles as a good pitch framer.

Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet

Considering that flyball hitters hold a sizeable edge over groundball pitchers, Paul Skenes and his 49.4% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult spot in today's outing going up against 1 opposing GB hitters.

Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Paul Skenes’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 GS (2164 rpm) has been quite a bit worse than than his seasonal rate (2243 rpm).

Projection For Paul Skenes Strikeouts Prop Bet

Paul Skenes is projected to have 7.1 Strikeouts in this weeks game.