Ryne Nelson Prop projections for Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres on Jun 8, 2024

Ryne Nelson Player Prop: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: -152
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Ryne Nelson's overall pitching ability grades out in the 18th percentile among all SPs in MLB currently.

The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.

In MLB, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryne Nelson in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the San Diego Padres offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Tripp Gibson) calling pitches in this game.

The weather report projects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Ryne Nelson was rolling in his previous GS and allowed 2 ER.

Ryne Nelson has used his cutter 9.2% more often this season (24%) than he did last year (14.8%).

Ryne Nelson Earned Runs Prop Projection

Ryne Nelson is projected to have 3.1 Earned Runs in todays game.


Ryne Nelson Player Prop: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

  • Strikeouts 3.5 over: 120
  • Strikeouts 3.5 under: -155

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Recording 92.4 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Ryne Nelson falls in the 77th percentile.

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Tripp Gibson) calling pitches in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 4th-best park in the league for strikeouts.

Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense.

The weather report projects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ryne Nelson in the 6th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.

The San Diego Padres (17.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone team of hitters of all teams on the slate today.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryne Nelson in today's matchup.

In his last game started, Ryne Nelson didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 1 Ks.

Ryne Nelson’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 GS (2156 rpm) has been considerably worse than than his seasonal rate (2253 rpm).

Ryne Nelson Strikeouts Prop Projection

Ryne Nelson is projected to have 2.9 Strikeouts in todays game.