Ryne Nelson projections, stats and prop bet odds for Arizona Diamondbacks at Kansas City Royals on Jul 24, 2024
Ryne Nelson Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -130
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The #1 venue in the game for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
Kauffman Stadium has the 10th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 89°.
Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryne Nelson today.
Kansas City's 89.4-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the elite in the game: #5 overall.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
Among all stadiums, Kauffman Stadium's right field dimensions are the deepest.
Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Ryne Nelson was rolling in his last GS and gave up 1 ER.
Ryne Nelson has utilized his cut-fastball 5.6% more often this season (20.4%) than he did last year (14.8%).
Ryne Nelson has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his ERA this year; his 4.78 figure is considerably higher than his 3.95 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
Projection For Today's Ryne Nelson Earned Runs Prop Bet
Ryne Nelson is projected to have 3.1 Earned Runs in todays game.
Ryne Nelson Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 3.5 over: -102
- Strikeouts 3.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Ryne Nelson was on point in his previous game started and accumulated 9 strikeouts.
Ryne Nelson has utilized his cut-fastball 5.6% more often this season (20.4%) than he did last year (14.8%).
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ryne Nelson in the 23rd percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.
Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #29 venue in the game for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 89°.
Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryne Nelson today.
Projection For Today's Ryne Nelson Strikeouts Prop Bet
Ryne Nelson is projected to have 3.4 Strikeouts in todays game.
Ryne Nelson Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -156
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 125
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Among all stadiums, Kauffman Stadium's right field dimensions are the deepest.
Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Ryne Nelson was rolling in his last GS and gave up 1 ER.
Ryne Nelson has utilized his cut-fastball 5.6% more often this season (20.4%) than he did last year (14.8%).
Ryne Nelson has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his ERA this year; his 4.78 figure is considerably higher than his 3.95 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The #1 venue in the game for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
Kauffman Stadium has the 10th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 89°.
Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryne Nelson today.
Placing in the 10th percentile, Ryne Nelson recorded an 8.2% Swinging Strike rate this year.
Projection For Today's Ryne Nelson Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Ryne Nelson is projected to have 16.1 Pitching Outs in todays game.
