MacKenzie Gore MLB projections and prop bets for Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals on Sep 28, 2024
MacKenzie Gore Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: -115
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: -117
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts MacKenzie Gore in the 82nd percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.
Throwing 97 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, MacKenzie Gore falls in the 95th percentile.
Due to his large reverse platoon split, MacKenzie Gore should be in good shape matching up with 7 batters in the projected offense who bat from the opposite side in today's outing.
Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and MacKenzie Gore will hold that advantage in today's game.
In his previous outing, MacKenzie Gore was in good form and notched 9 strikeouts.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Nic Lentz) in charge of the strike zone today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 10th-worst stadium in baseball for strikeouts.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°.
MacKenzie Gore has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 9.65 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.59 — a 0.07 K/9 discrepancy.
Projection For MacKenzie Gore Strikeouts Prop Bet
MacKenzie Gore is projected to have 5.1 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
MacKenzie Gore Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -133
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -103
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Nic Lentz) in charge of the strike zone today.
Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°.
Among every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.
As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are very fast; their 27.97 ft/sec Sprint Speed this year grades out #2 in the game.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 2nd-worst stadium in MLB for BABIP.
Due to his large reverse platoon split, MacKenzie Gore should be in good shape matching up with 7 batters in the projected offense who bat from the opposite side in today's outing.
Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and MacKenzie Gore will hold that advantage in today's game.
In his previous outing, MacKenzie Gore was firing on all cylinders and conceded 1 ER.
MacKenzie Gore's fastball velocity has increased 1 mph this year (95.4 mph) over where it was last year (94.4 mph).
Projection For MacKenzie Gore Earned Runs Prop Bet
MacKenzie Gore is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
MacKenzie Gore Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -120
- Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Throwing 97 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, MacKenzie Gore falls in the 95th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 2nd-worst stadium in MLB for BABIP.
Due to his large reverse platoon split, MacKenzie Gore should be in good shape matching up with 7 batters in the projected offense who bat from the opposite side in today's outing.
Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and MacKenzie Gore will hold that advantage in today's game.
In his previous outing, MacKenzie Gore was firing on all cylinders and conceded 1 ER.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Nic Lentz) in charge of the strike zone today.
Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 86°.
Among every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.
MacKenzie Gore has displayed bad control this year, compiling a 23rd percentile BB% of 9.1%.
Projection For MacKenzie Gore Pitching Outs Prop Bet
MacKenzie Gore is projected to have 15.1 Pitching Outs in this weeks game.
