Luis Castillo Prop projections for Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners on Jun 13, 2024

Luis Castillo Player Prop: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 132
  • Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -172

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Luis Castillo's overall pitching skill is in the 86th percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

Luis Castillo is expected to throw 98 pitches in today's game, which is the highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.

The Chicago White Sox projected offense ranks as the weakest of the day in terms of overall batting ability.

Cal Raleigh, the Mariners's expected catcher today, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

T-Mobile Park projects as the #29 venue in MLB for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop

The Chicago White Sox have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward

It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Brian Knight) behind the plate today.

T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest RF fences in the league.

T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.

In his last outing, Luis Castillo allowed a whopping 5 earned runs.

Luis Castillo Pitching Outs Prop Projection

Luis Castillo is projected to have 19.1 Pitching Outs in todays game.


Luis Castillo Player Prop: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

  • Earned Runs 1.5 over: -156
  • Earned Runs 1.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Chicago White Sox have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward

It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Brian Knight) behind the plate today.

T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest RF fences in the league.

T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.

In his last outing, Luis Castillo allowed a whopping 5 earned runs.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Luis Castillo's overall pitching skill is in the 86th percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

The Chicago White Sox projected offense ranks as the weakest of the day in terms of overall batting ability.

Cal Raleigh, the Mariners's expected catcher today, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

T-Mobile Park projects as the #29 venue in MLB for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Luis Castillo Earned Runs Prop Projection

Luis Castillo is projected to have 1.9 Earned Runs in todays game.


Luis Castillo Player Prop: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

  • Strikeouts 6.5 over: -156
  • Strikeouts 6.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Luis Castillo in the 79th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

Luis Castillo is expected to throw 98 pitches in today's game, which is the highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.

The Chicago White Sox have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luis Robert, Paul DeJong, Zach DeLoach, Korey Lee).

Cal Raleigh, the Mariners's expected catcher today, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #1 ballpark in the league for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop

It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Brian Knight) behind the plate today.

Luis Castillo's 2186-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a big 101-rpm fall off from last year's 2287-rpm figure.

Luis Castillo’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 GS (2108 rpm) has been quite a bit worse than than his seasonal rate (2186 rpm).

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Luis Castillo has gone to his fastball a lot this year, though: 61.7% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

Given the 0.24 difference between Luis Castillo's 9.18 K/9 and his 8.94 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to perform worse in future games.

Luis Castillo Strikeouts Prop Projection

Luis Castillo is projected to have 6.8 Strikeouts in todays game.