Luis Castillo projections, stats and prop bet odds for Seattle Mariners at St. Louis Cardinals on Sep 8, 2024
Luis Castillo Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -192
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 145
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Luis Castillo's overall pitching talent is in the 85th percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball currently.
Throwing 96.8 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Luis Castillo places him the 94th percentile.
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nestor Ceja) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #3 stadium in the majors for suppressing home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences among all major league stadiums.
Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Castillo today.
Luis Castillo's fastball spin rate has dropped 132 rpm this season (2155 rpm) below where it was last year (2287 rpm).
Luis Castillo's high usage percentage of his fastball (63.3% this year) is likely hurting his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
St. Louis ranks as the #3 group of hitters in Major League Baseball when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (44.4% rate this year).
Projection For Today's Luis Castillo Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Luis Castillo is projected to have 17.4 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Luis Castillo Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 102
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -139
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences among all major league stadiums.
Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Castillo today.
Luis Castillo's fastball spin rate has dropped 132 rpm this season (2155 rpm) below where it was last year (2287 rpm).
Luis Castillo's high usage percentage of his fastball (63.3% this year) is likely hurting his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
St. Louis ranks as the #3 group of hitters in Major League Baseball when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (44.4% rate this year).
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Luis Castillo's overall pitching talent is in the 85th percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball currently.
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nestor Ceja) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #3 stadium in the majors for suppressing home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.
The 2nd-deepest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Busch Stadium.
Projection For Today's Luis Castillo Earned Runs Prop Bet
Luis Castillo is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in todays game.
Luis Castillo Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -167
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: 130
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Luis Castillo in the 78th percentile among all SPs in the league.
Throwing 96.8 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Luis Castillo places him the 94th percentile.
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nestor Ceja) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 2nd-worst ballpark in baseball for strikeouts.
Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Castillo today.
Luis Castillo's fastball spin rate has dropped 132 rpm this season (2155 rpm) below where it was last year (2287 rpm).
Luis Castillo's high usage percentage of his fastball (63.3% this year) is likely hurting his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Considering the 0.01 difference between Luis Castillo's 8.98 K/9 and his 8.97 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to see negative regression in the future.
Projection For Today's Luis Castillo Strikeouts Prop Bet
Luis Castillo is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in todays game.
