Kyle Gibson Prop projections for Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals on Jun 26, 2024
Kyle Gibson Player Prop: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -134
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: 106
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
Kyle Gibson has averaged 92.1 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 77th percentile.
The Atlanta Braves have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zack Short, Jarred Kelenic, Ramon Laureano, Forrest Wall).
The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Kyle Gibson will hold that advantage today.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop
Projected catcher Willson Contreras grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
This game is forecasted to have the highest humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Kyle Gibson (48.1% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Atlanta's projected lineup.
Kyle Gibson Strikeouts Prop Projection
Kyle Gibson is projected to have 4.6 Strikeouts in todays game.
