Kyle Bradish Prop projections for Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles on Jun 14, 2024
Kyle Bradish Player Prop: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: -111
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kyle Bradish in the 90th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Kyle Bradish will hold that advantage in today's game.
Kyle Bradish was firing on all cylinders in his previous game started and posted 9 strikeouts.
Out of all starters, Kyle Bradish's fastball velocity of 94.6 mph is in the 80th percentile this year.
Kyle Bradish's 2387.3-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 81st percentile out of all starting pitchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop
Compared to the average pitcher, Kyle Bradish has been granted a below-average leash this year, tallying an -7.8 fewer adjusted pitches each outing.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.
Kyle Bradish has utilized his sinker 16.8% more often this year (37.5%) than he did last season (20.7%).
Given the 3.15 deviation between Kyle Bradish's 12.84 K/9 and his 9.69 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to negatively regress in future games.
Kyle Bradish Strikeouts Prop Projection
Kyle Bradish is projected to have 5.3 Strikeouts in todays game.
Kyle Bradish Player Prop: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -114
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
Kyle Bradish projects as the 15th-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 3rd-worst park in the game for walks.
Among all stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's LF fences are the deepest.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 9th-highest average fence height among all parks.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop
Compared to the average pitcher, Kyle Bradish has been granted a below-average leash this year, tallying an -7.8 fewer adjusted pitches each outing.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.
Kyle Bradish has utilized his sinker 16.8% more often this year (37.5%) than he did last season (20.7%).
Philadelphia Phillies batters as a group rank among the elite in the league since the start of last season (4th-) in regard to their 89.5-mph average exit velocity.
As a team, Philadelphia Phillies hitters have excelled as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating 6th-best in the league.
Kyle Bradish Pitching Outs Prop Projection
Kyle Bradish is projected to have 16 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Kyle Bradish Player Prop: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 118
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -163
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.
Kyle Bradish has utilized his sinker 16.8% more often this year (37.5%) than he did last season (20.7%).
Philadelphia Phillies batters as a group rank among the elite in the league since the start of last season (4th-) in regard to their 89.5-mph average exit velocity.
As a team, Philadelphia Phillies hitters have excelled as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating 6th-best in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop
Kyle Bradish projects as the 15th-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 3rd-worst park in the game for walks.
Among all stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's LF fences are the deepest.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 9th-highest average fence height among all parks.
Kyle Bradish Earned Runs Prop Projection
Kyle Bradish is projected to have 2 Earned Runs in todays game.