Keaton Winn Prop projections for San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals on Jun 20, 2024
Keaton Winn Player Prop: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -151
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
It may be smart to expect positive regression for the St. Louis Cardinals offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.
Rickwood Field has the 8th-deepest RF fences among all stadiums.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°.
Keaton Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
With a 4.74 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the things a pitcher can most influence), Keaton Winn places in the 20th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop
The 5th-worst projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants's expected catcher today) grades out as an elite pitch framer.
Rickwood Field has the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.
Keaton Winn's 95.1-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 90th percentile among all SPs.
Considering the 2.26 discrepancy between Keaton Winn's 6.66 ERA and his 4.40 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and should see better results in the future.
Keaton Winn Earned Runs Prop Projection
Keaton Winn is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in todays game.
Keaton Winn Player Prop: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
- Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -105
- Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
The 5th-worst projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants's expected catcher today) grades out as an elite pitch framer.
Rickwood Field has the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.
Keaton Winn's 95.1-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 90th percentile among all SPs.
Considering the 2.26 discrepancy between Keaton Winn's 6.66 ERA and his 4.40 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and should see better results in the future.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop
Recording 14.4 outs per start this year on average, Keaton Winn checks in at the 14th percentile.
It may be smart to expect positive regression for the St. Louis Cardinals offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.
Rickwood Field has the 8th-deepest RF fences among all stadiums.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°.
Keaton Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
Keaton Winn Pitching Outs Prop Projection
Keaton Winn is projected to have 16.4 Pitching Outs in todays game.
