Jose Berrios MLB projections and prop bets for Miami Marlins at Toronto Blue Jays on Sep 27, 2024
Jose Berrios Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -108
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Jose Berrios has averaged 94 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.
The Miami Marlins projected batting order projects as the 3rd-worst of the day in terms of overall hitting ability.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Alejandro Kirk (the Blue Jays's expected catcher in today's matchup) grades out as a good pitch framer.
The league's 8th-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Rogers Centre.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.
Jose Berrios's 2159-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 25th percentile out of all SPs.
Jose Berrios has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.37 rate is a fair amount lower than his 4.70 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
With a 4.70 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the things a pitcher has the most control over), Jose Berrios places in the 15th percentile.
Jose Berrios has posted a .255 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the majors on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
Projection For Jose Berrios Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Jose Berrios is projected to have 17.5 Pitching Outs in this weeks game.
Jose Berrios Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: -127
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: -108
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Jose Berrios has averaged 94 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.
The Miami Marlins have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Derek Hill, Connor Norby, Kyle Stowers, Jake Burger).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Alejandro Kirk (the Blue Jays's expected catcher in today's matchup) grades out as a good pitch framer.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 10th-best field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Jose Berrios's 2159-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 25th percentile out of all SPs.
Jose Berrios has notched a 9% Swinging Strike percentage this year, grading out in the 20th percentile.
Jose Berrios has notched an 18.7% K% this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile.
Projection For Jose Berrios Strikeouts Prop Bet
Jose Berrios is projected to have 5.1 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
Jose Berrios Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -111
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -123
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.
Jose Berrios's 2159-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 25th percentile out of all SPs.
Jose Berrios has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.37 rate is a fair amount lower than his 4.70 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
With a 4.70 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the things a pitcher has the most control over), Jose Berrios places in the 15th percentile.
Jose Berrios has posted a .255 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the majors on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The Miami Marlins projected batting order projects as the 3rd-worst of the day in terms of overall hitting ability.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Alejandro Kirk (the Blue Jays's expected catcher in today's matchup) grades out as a good pitch framer.
The league's 8th-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Rogers Centre.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
With 6 batters of the same handedness in the opposing team's projected batting order, Jose Berrios figures to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
Projection For Jose Berrios Earned Runs Prop Bet
Jose Berrios is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
