Jesus Luzardo Prop projections for Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals on Jun 16, 2024
Jesus Luzardo Player Prop: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -110
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
In MLB, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 86°.
With 7 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Jesus Luzardo will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.
Jesus Luzardo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop
The 2nd-worst projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the Washington Nationals.
Jim Wolf projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate in this game.
Projected catcher Nick Fortes profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Nationals Park grades out as the #25 field in Major League Baseball for BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In his last game started, Jesus Luzardo was firing on all cylinders and conceded 2 ER.
Jesus Luzardo Earned Runs Prop Projection
Jesus Luzardo is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in todays game.
Jesus Luzardo Player Prop: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -120
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -108
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
Throwing 93.8 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Jesus Luzardo checks in at the 83rd percentile.
The 2nd-worst projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the Washington Nationals.
Jim Wolf projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate in this game.
Projected catcher Nick Fortes profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Nationals Park grades out as the #25 field in Major League Baseball for BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop
In MLB, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 86°.
With 7 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Jesus Luzardo will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.
Jesus Luzardo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Jesus Luzardo Pitching Outs Prop Projection
Jesus Luzardo is projected to have 18.1 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Jesus Luzardo Player Prop: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -120
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Jesus Luzardo in the 82nd percentile among all SPs in baseball.
Throwing 93.8 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Jesus Luzardo checks in at the 83rd percentile.
Jim Wolf projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate in this game.
Projected catcher Nick Fortes profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Jesus Luzardo has used his four-seam fastball 7% less often this season (39.1%) than he did last season (46.1%).
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Washington Nationals with a 18.8% underlying K%.
Nationals Park profiles as the #24 field in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 86°.
With 7 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Jesus Luzardo will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
Jesus Luzardo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Jesus Luzardo Strikeouts Prop Projection
Jesus Luzardo is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in todays game.