Jameson Taillon MLB projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs on Sep 27, 2024
Jameson Taillon Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 105
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
Jameson Taillon's 91.7-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.3-mph drop off from last year's 93-mph figure.
Jameson Taillon has been lucky this year, putting up a 3.41 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.44 — a 1.03 discrepancy.
Jameson Taillon has posted a .273 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest hurlers in baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
The Cincinnati Reds have done a good job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-contacted balls. Their 16.7° mark is among the highest in the game this year (#1 overall).
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The Cincinnati Reds have been the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season
The #6 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.
The 5th-deepest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.
Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fences in MLB.
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers.
Projection For Jameson Taillon Earned Runs Prop Bet
Jameson Taillon is projected to have 1.8 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
Jameson Taillon Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -150
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 8th-best park in baseball for strikeouts.
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers.
With 6 batters who share his hand in the opposing team's projected offense, Jameson Taillon ought to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Jameson Taillon will hold that advantage in today's game.
Jameson Taillon's high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (59.7% this year) figures to work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.
Jameson Taillon's 91.7-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.3-mph drop off from last year's 93-mph figure.
Ranking in the 13th percentile, Jameson Taillon put up an 8.7% Swinging Strike percentage this year.
Ranking in the 22nd percentile, Jameson Taillon has recorded an 18.6% Strikeout% this year.
Projection For Jameson Taillon Strikeouts Prop Bet
Jameson Taillon is projected to have 4.6 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
