Aaron Nola projections, stats and prop bet odds for Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies on Sep 23, 2024
Aaron Nola Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 6.5 over: 110
- Strikeouts 6.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Aaron Nola in the 87th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.
Recording 96.4 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Aaron Nola falls in the 93rd percentile.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-most strikeout-heavy lineup in today's games is the Chicago Cubs with a 22.7% underlying K%.
Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
Aaron Nola will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his metrics in all categories.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
This matchup is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Projection For Today's Aaron Nola Strikeouts Prop Bet
Aaron Nola is projected to have 5.8 Strikeouts in todays game.
Aaron Nola Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 146
- Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -204
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Aaron Nola in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.
Recording 96.4 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Aaron Nola falls in the 93rd percentile.
The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.
Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
Aaron Nola will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his metrics in all categories.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The 4th-weakest projected offense on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Chicago Cubs.
The 9th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Citizens Bank Park.
This matchup is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 8th-strongest among every team playing today.
With a 0.53 difference between Aaron Nola's 3.54 ERA and his 4.07 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and should negatively regress in future games.
Projection For Today's Aaron Nola Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Aaron Nola is projected to have 16.6 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Aaron Nola Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 120
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -165
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The 4th-weakest projected offense on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Chicago Cubs.
The 9th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Citizens Bank Park.
This matchup is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 8th-strongest among every team playing today.
With a 0.53 difference between Aaron Nola's 3.54 ERA and his 4.07 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and should negatively regress in future games.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Aaron Nola in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.
The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.
Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
Aaron Nola will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his metrics in all categories.
Aaron Nola was rolling in his last start and conceded 1 ER.
Projection For Today's Aaron Nola Earned Runs Prop Bet
Aaron Nola is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in todays game.
