Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers Game 1 Pick & Prediction – 5/29/2024

Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates

May 29, 2024

Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Game 1 Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 29, 2024
  • Venue: Comerica Park
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Jared Jones - Pirates
    • Tarik Skubal - Tigers

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Pirates +130, Tigers -155
Runline: Pirates +1.5 (-166), Tigers -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under Total: 7

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Game 1 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Pittsburgh Pirates - 43.48% Pittsburgh Pirates - 40.28%
Detroit Tigers - 60.78% Detroit Tigers - 59.72%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Game 1 Betting Preview

In an Interleague matchup, the Detroit Tigers will be hosting the Pittsburgh Pirates at Comerica Park on May 29, 2024. The Tigers, with a record of 26-27 this season, are having an average season, while the Pirates, with a record of 25-29, are having a below-average season.

The Tigers are projected to start left-handed pitcher Tarik Skubal, who has performed exceptionally well this season. Skubal boasts a win/loss record of 6-1 and an impressive ERA of 2.25. According to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, Skubal is ranked as the #2 best starting pitcher in MLB, making him an elite pitcher.

On the other hand, the Pirates are projected to start right-handed pitcher Jared Jones. Although Jones has a record of 3-4 this season and a decent ERA of 3.05, our advanced-stat Power Rankings consider him to be the #71 best starting pitcher in MLB, indicating that he is above average.

When it comes to offensive performance, the Tigers rank as the #20 best team in MLB this season. However, their team batting average is ranked #27 out of 30 teams, indicating a lack of hitting consistency. Additionally, their team home run and stolen base rankings are also low. The Pirates, on the other hand, rank as the #27 best team in MLB, with similar struggles in batting average, home runs, and stolen bases.

Looking at the projected pitching performances, Skubal is expected to pitch an average of 5.8 innings and allow only 1.8 earned runs, showcasing his elite skills. He is also projected to strike out 7.8 batters, but may struggle with allowing hits and walks. Jones, on the other hand, is expected to pitch an average of 5.2 innings and allow 2.3 earned runs, which is a good projection. However, he may struggle with hits and walks, similar to Skubal.

In terms of bullpen rankings, our advanced-stat Power Rankings consider the Tigers' bullpen to be the #18 best in MLB, while the Pirates' bullpen ranks as the #12 best. Both teams have an average bullpen performance.

Based on the current odds, the Tigers are considered the betting favorites with a moneyline of -150 and an implied win probability of 57%. THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, also projects the Tigers as a big favorite with a win probability of 62%. The Pirates are considered the underdogs with a moneyline of +125 and an implied win probability of 43%.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

Final Score: Pittsburgh Pirates 3.75 vs Detroit Tigers 3.72

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+126
20% PIT
-149
80% DET

Total Pick Consensus

6.5/-120
2% UN
6.5/+100
98% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-180
5% PIT
-1.5/+150
95% DET

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
PIT
Team Stats
DET
4.60
ERA
4.46
.252
Batting Avg Against
.244
1.40
WHIP
1.27
.304
BABIP
.289
9.4%
BB%
7.6%
21.9%
K%
22.2%
70.4%
LOB%
68.5%
.235
Batting Avg
.234
.388
SLG
.374
.700
OPS
.673
.313
OBP
.299
PIT
Team Records
DET
22-24
Home
22-23
23-24
Road
23-26
32-32
vRHP
35-41
13-16
vLHP
10-8
20-25
vs>.500
23-31
25-23
vs<.500
22-18
5-5
Last10
7-3
10-10
Last20
11-9
15-15
Last30
14-16
J. Jones
T. Skubal
N/A
Innings
32.1
N/A
GS
7
N/A
W-L
2-2
N/A
ERA
4.18
N/A
K/9
10.02
N/A
BB/9
1.67
N/A
HR/9
0.28
N/A
LOB%
57.4%
N/A
HR/FB%
4.2%
N/A
FIP
2.09
N/A
xFIP
2.91

J. Jones

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

T. Skubal

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
4/28 MIN
Ober N/A
L1-7 N/A
5
6
6
3
4
2
56-85
4/23 COL
Senzatela N/A
W13-0 N/A
6
5
0
0
6
0
60-91
4/15 KC
Keller N/A
W2-1 N/A
5.2
4
1
0
7
0
65-90
4/10 CHW
Kopech N/A
L1-10 N/A
4
7
5
4
3
1
50-79
9/30 MIN
Ryan N/A
W10-7 N/A
3.1
6
5
5
1
1
34-54

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
PIT DET
PIT DET
Consensus
+100
-125
+126
-149
-105
-115
+124
-148
+102
-120
+124
-146
+130
-152
+128
-150
-105
-115
+122
-145
Open
Current
Book
PIT DET
PIT DET
Consensus
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-222)
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+145)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
-1.5 (+176)
+1.5 (-215)
+1.5 (-192)
-1.5 (+158)
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+145)
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+143)
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (210)
-1.5 (+150)
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-275)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
7.5 (+115)
7.5 (-140)
6.5 (-123)
6.5 (+101)
7.0 (-115)
7.0 (-105)
7.0 (+102)
7.0 (-122)
7.5 (+102)
7.5 (-124)
6.5 (-122)
6.5 (+100)
7.0 (-105)
7.0 (-117)
6.5 (-118)
6.5 (-104)
7.0 (-115)
7.0 (-105)
6.5 (-125)
6.5 (+105)
7.0 (+100)
7.0 (-120)
6.5 (-125)
6.5 (+105)