New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Prediction & Picks 8/13/2024

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Details

• Date: August 13, 2024
• Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Nestor Cortes - Yankees
  • Jonathan Cannon - White Sox

Betting Odds

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The New York Yankees travel to Guaranteed Rate Field to face the Chicago White Sox in the second game of their series on August 13, 2024. The Yankees are enjoying a strong season with a 70-50 record, while the White Sox are struggling at 29-91, clearly having a rough year. The last time these two met, the White Sox emerged victorious, a shocking result given where both teams stand in 2024.

Starting for the White Sox is Jonathan Cannon, who has had a challenging season with a 2-5 record and a 3.91 ERA over 12 starts. Although his ERA appears solid, his xFIP of 4.57 indicates he has been somewhat fortunate this year. Cannon projects to pitch only 4.8 innings today, with alarming averages of 3.2 earned runs and 5.4 hits allowed. This could spell trouble against a Yankees lineup that ranks 1st in the league in offensive performance.

On the mound for the Yankees is Nestor Cortes, who has had a mixed season with a 5-10 record and a 4.42 ERA. His xERA of 3.78 suggests that he has been unlucky, and the projections indicate he could perform better down the stretch. Cortes is expected to go approximately 5.6 innings, allowing just 2.5 earned runs on average, which bodes well against a White Sox offense that ranks 30th in run production and is devoid of power.

While the Yankees’ bullpen ranks 23rd in the league, the White Sox's struggles extend to their bullpen, which is ranked last. Given these disparities, the Yankees are positioned as significant favorites, and bettors should consider their high implied team total of 5.65 runs against a beleaguered White Sox squad.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (91% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

The New York Yankees projected batting order ranks as the strongest on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.

• A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jonathan Cannon is projected to throw 85 pitches in today's game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-least of all pitchers today.

• Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.

Andrew Benintendi will probably have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP.

• Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.

The Chicago White Sox bullpen ranks as the worst in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 59 of their last 96 games (+21.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+26.30 Units / 376% ROI)

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

Final Score: New York Yankees 6.22 vs Chicago White Sox 4.14

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.