Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox Game 1 Pick & Prediction – 7/10/2024

Minnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins

Jul 10, 2024

Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends

Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Game 1 Details

  • Date: July 10, 2024
  • Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Bailey Ober - Twins
    • Erick Fedde - White Sox

Twins vs White Sox Game 1 Betting Odds

Moneyline: Twins -162, White Sox +136
Runline: Twins -1.5 (+102), White Sox +1.5 (-122)
Over/Under Total: 8

Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Game 1 Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins are set to square off on July 10, 2024, in the first game of a double-header at Guaranteed Rate Field. The Twins, currently 52-39 and enjoying a good season, are leading the American League Central and come into this matchup as favorites. The White Sox, struggling with a 26-67 record, have had a rough season and are looking for a spark.

Chicago will send Erick Fedde to the mound. Fedde has been solid this year, holding a 6-3 record with a stellar 3.13 ERA over 18 starts. However, his 3.78 xFIP suggests that he's been somewhat fortunate and may regress. On the other side, Bailey Ober will start for Minnesota. With an 8-4 record and a 4.12 ERA, Ober has pitched better than his stats indicate, as his 3.55 SIERA suggests he's been unlucky.

The White Sox offense has been one of the weakest in MLB, ranking 29th in team batting average and home runs. Conversely, the Twins boast one of the league's top offenses, ranking 4th in both team batting average and overall performance. This stark contrast in offensive firepower gives Minnesota a significant edge.

Fedde projects to pitch 5.8 innings, allowing 2.6 earned runs, while Ober is expected to match those innings with a slightly better projection of 2.4 earned runs allowed. Both pitchers are projected to strike out 5.6 batters on average.

Recent performances also favor the Twins. Jose Miranda has been on fire, hitting .714 with a 1.834 OPS over the last week. The White Sox's Nicky Lopez, while solid, has a .313 average and a 1.013 OPS in the same period.

Given the disparity in team performance and the Twins' offensive prowess, Minnesota is the favorite with a -160 moneyline, translating to an implied win probability of 60%. For bettors, the Twins' high implied team total of 4.42 runs further underscores their advantage heading into this matchup.

Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Game 1 Prediction

Final Score: Minnesota Twins 4.83 vs Chicago White Sox 4.25

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-163
85% MIN
+136
15% CHW

Total Pick Consensus

8.0/-102
6% UN
8.0/-118
94% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/+105
84% MIN
+1.5/-125
16% CHW

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
MIN
Team Stats
CHW
3.89
ERA
4.60
.235
Batting Avg Against
.242
1.20
WHIP
1.38
.293
BABIP
.295
7.3%
BB%
10.2%
25.8%
K%
24.3%
74.0%
LOB%
72.5%
.237
Batting Avg
.238
.416
SLG
.386
.732
OPS
.681
.316
OBP
.295
MIN
Team Records
CHW
27-18
Home
17-31
26-22
Road
10-37
37-32
vRHP
20-55
16-8
vLHP
7-13
20-25
vs>.500
16-47
33-15
vs<.500
11-21
7-3
Last10
3-7
12-8
Last20
7-13
20-10
Last30
10-20
B. Ober
E. Fedde
113.2
Innings
N/A
20
GS
N/A
6-6
W-L
N/A
3.40
ERA
N/A
8.95
K/9
N/A
1.74
BB/9
N/A
1.27
HR/9
N/A
78.9%
LOB%
N/A
10.2%
HR/FB%
N/A
3.85
FIP
N/A
4.28
xFIP
N/A
.245
AVG
N/A
24.6%
K%
N/A
4.8%
BB%
N/A
3.93
SIERA
N/A

B. Ober

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
4/28 DET
Skubal N/A
W7-1 N/A
3.2
6
1
1
3
2
49-73
4/22 CHW
Kopech N/A
W2-1 N/A
5
5
1
1
6
0
56-79
4/17 BOS
Wacha N/A
L1-8 N/A
6
4
2
0
3
1
46-70
4/10 SEA
Gonzales N/A
W10-4 N/A
5
4
4
4
4
2
48-79
9/24 TOR
Berrios N/A
W3-1 N/A
5.1
4
1
1
6
0
59-82

E. Fedde

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/3 COL
Marquez N/A
W10-2 N/A
7
6
1
1
3
2
66-102
4/27 MIA
Lopez N/A
L1-2 N/A
4.2
3
2
2
5
3
55-91
4/20 ARI
Kelly N/A
L2-11 N/A
3.1
8
7
6
3
1
55-80
4/15 PIT
Keller N/A
W7-2 N/A
5
4
2
2
6
2
59-96
4/10 NYM
Carrasco N/A
W4-2 N/A
5
5
2
2
5
2
54-87

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN CHW
MIN CHW
Consensus
-175
+148
-163
+136
-162
+136
-162
+136
-176
+148
-162
+136
-165
+140
-162
+138
-160
+135
-160
+135
-165
+140
-160
+135
Open
Current
Book
MIN CHW
MIN CHW
Consensus
-1.5 (104)
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (+104)
+1.5 (-127)
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
-1.5 (105)
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-126)
-1.5 (+107)
+1.5 (-132)
-1.5 (+108)
+1.5 (-132)
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-120)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.0 (-117)
8.0 (-104)
8.0 (-105)
8.0 (-115)
8.0 (-118)
8.0 (-102)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (+102)
8.5 (-124)
8.0 (-107)
8.0 (-113)
8.0 (-113)
8.0 (-107)
8.0 (-105)
8.0 (-115)
8.0 (-120)
8.0 (+100)
8.0 (-120)
8.0 (+100)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)