Miami Marlins Sports Betting Promos & Bonuses
Baseball season is here once again, and the Miami Marlins are one of many MLB teams available to be bet on this season. Bettors can get involved in Miami Marlins betting action all season long with the following sportsbook promotions that can help pad their bankroll on Marlins games.
- Miami Marlins Sports Betting Promos & Bonuses
- Miami Marlins Betting Preview
- 2022 Over/Under Season Win Total Odds
- Miami Marlins Futures Betting Odds
- Standings Data
- Miami Marlins Picks, Predictions & Betting News
- Offseason Transactions
- Offensive Stats
- Pitching Stats
- Positives & Negatives
- Miami Marlins Pick & Prediction: Over 77.5
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins were not a bottom-five team in Major League Baseball this season. That may be more of an indictment of the five worst teams in the league last year more than it is an accomplishment on the part of the Marlins, but Miami took some baby steps last year and deserves full credit for that. There are still a boatload of obstacles to overcome for this ballclub, but they were not nearly as bad as they have been in years past.
In fact, advanced metrics were kind to the Marlins in 2021, as they were a 70-win team according to their pythag and BaseRuns records. Of course, they fell short of 70 wins in the only win column that matters to a baseball team. But this team is not completely irredeemable, which is a sign of at least some form of progress in Miami.
2022 Over/Under Season Win Total Odds
| Sportsbook | Over/Under Wins |
|---|---|
| DraftKings | 77.5 |
| FanDuel | 77.5 |
Miami Marlins Futures Betting Odds
Standings Data
| 2021 | 2020 | |
|---|---|---|
| Actual Record | 67-95 | 31-29 |
| Run Differential | -78 | -41 |
| Pythagorean W/L | 72-90 | 26-34 |
| BaseRuns Record | 74-88 | 24-36 |
| BaseRuns Run Differential | -65 (3.87/4.27) | -56 (4.23/5.17) |
| Record in One-Run Games | 21-29 | 11-8 |
Miami Marlins Picks, Predictions & Betting News
Offseason Transactions
Key Additions: Avisaíl García, Jorge Soler, Jacob Stallings, Joey Wendle
Key Departures: Zach Thompson, Derek Jeter
It has to be said that the Miami Marlins are clearly making an effort to get better, whether or not those attempts are successful this season. They bring in Jorge Soler, whose last action on the diamond saw him help the Atlanta Braves win a World Series. They also bring in Avisail Garcia and Joey Wendle, who were solid bats for the Brewers and Rays a season ago.
Losing Zach Thompson will hurt their pitching staff to an extent, but he won just three of his 26 games last year. Overall, the positives outweigh the negatives with the Marlins offseason, as they at least deserve a little credit for trying to get better despite still having a bottom-five payroll in the league.
Offensive Stats
| 2021 (Rank) | 2020 (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| Batting Average (BA) | .233 (T-27th) | .244 (17th) |
| On-Base Percentage (OBP) | .298 (29th) | .319 (17th) |
| Slugging Percentage (SLG) | .372 (29th) | .384 (25th) |
| Weighted On-Base Avg (wOBA) | .291 (T-29th) | .308 (21st) |
| Weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+) | 84 (T-26th) | 96 (18th) |
| Batting Avg on Balls In Play (BABIP) | .296 (T-7th) | .306 (10th) |
| Strikeout Percentage (K%) | 26.2% (29th) | 24.8% (22nd) |
| Walk Percentage (BB%) | 7.6% (27th) | 8.8% (16th) |
Offensively, the Marlins were a wreck last season, finishing in the bottom-five in most major statistical categories. Only the Pittsburgh Pirates scored fewer runs than the Marlins last season, which prompted their aggression in the free agent market this offseason. They hope that their acquisitions on offense will help drag them out of the basement offensively right away.
The addition of Soler is especially interesting for this team, given that they were so deficient in the power department. Miami finished next to last in slugging percentage a season ago, and finished behind only the Diamondbacks and Pirates in the home run department. They needed power, and are hoping that Soler Power is the answer to that need, at least to make them respectable offensively.
Pitching Stats
| 2021 (Rank) | 2020 (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| Earned Run Average (ERA) | 3.96 (11th) | 4.86 (21st) |
| Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) | 4.01 (8th) | 5.02 (26th) |
| Adj. Fielding Independent Pitching (xFIP) | 4.21 (15th) | 4.90 (27th) |
| Strikeout Percentage (K%) | 22.9% (17th) | 20.4% (29th) |
| Walk Percentage (BB%) | 8.8% (16th) | 10.2% (23rd) |
| Left On Base Percentage (LOB%) | 71.6% (18th) | 70.6% (17th) |
Miami’s pitching was not terrible by any means last season, as they finished in the top-half of the league in ERA last season. The question is whether they can remain in the top-half of the league in that metric given that their xFIP, strikeout rate, and walk rate were all 15th in the league or worse last season. At the very least, this is worth keeping an eye on in the early portion of the season.
This offseason, Miami made it clear that their priority was improving their offense, which had to be the priority based on how they hit last year. But one has to wonder whether or not their pitching will fall off after being largely neglected in the offseason. If so, the Marlins may not do much improving despite a much-improved batting order.
Positives & Negatives
The biggest positive for the Marlins this season is that they actually seem to care about getting better, which has not always been the case for this franchise. On top of that, their offense really should be better than what it was a season ago. Expect more pop out of their lineup, and more runs to come with it, as the Marlins should at least be able to get near the 70-win mark.
On the flip side, the Marlins still have a bottom-five payroll in the sport, so there are some limitations as to how much they can accomplish in all likelihood. Their pitching will be a question this season, despite them doing well last year, and just how much they improve offensively still remains to be seen.
Miami Marlins Pick & Prediction: Over 77.5
Betting such a high season win total for the Miami Marlins of all teams seems like a risk, but it also seems like a risk worth taking based on their offseason. This team will resemble a professional ballclub offensively, and should remain competitive on the mound despite the potential for a slight statistical decline. A .500 team in Miami is absolutely in play here, and the over on their season win total is the play.
