Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction & Picks 9/29/2024

• Date: September 29, 2024
• Venue: Coors Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Anthony Banda - Dodgers
  • Ryan Feltner - Rockies

Betting Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

As the Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Dodgers prepare to face off at Coors Field on September 29, 2024, they find themselves in very different places in the standings. The Dodgers, boasting an impressive 97-64 record, are one of the top teams in the National League, while the Rockies, at 61-100, have had a season to forget.

Yesterday, the Dodgers continued their dominance over the Rockies with a commanding 13-2 victory, showcasing their powerful offense, which ranks 2nd in MLB. Their lineup, led by the likes of Shohei Ohtani, who sports a .310 average and 54 home runs, faces a pitching matchup against Ryan Feltner today. Feltner, who is ranked #178 among starting pitchers, carries an ERA of 4.66. Despite his struggles this season, his underlying xFIP of 4.13 suggests he's been somewhat unlucky. However, the Rockies have had difficulty providing run support, as indicated by their average ranking in most offensive categories, save for home runs, where they sit at 15th.

On the mound for the Dodgers will be Anthony Banda, a left-hander who has predominately appeared out of the bullpen this season. Though his ERA of 3.14 suggests effectiveness, his peripheral stats indicate some fortune has been on his side. Banda's challenge will be to navigate a Rockies lineup that is middling across MLB offensive metrics but has been led by the hot bat of Charlie Blackmon over the past week.

The projections, guided by THE BAT X, see the Dodgers as the favorites with a 58% chance of victory, slightly above their implied odds. Despite the Coors Field effect often inflating run totals, the Dodgers' best-in-league bullpen will look to stifle any Rockies' rally attempts. Bettors should keep an eye on this high-scoring affair, with both teams projected to tally significant runs.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Dodgers:

Tommy Edman is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Colorado (#3-best of all teams on the slate).

• This player's skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team's defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order grades out as the strongest on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.

• A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

Considering the 0.43 difference between Ryan Feltner's 4.66 ERA and his 4.23 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game this year and figures to see better results the rest of the season.

• Pitchers that are underperforming should be expected to pitch better going forward, which can create value if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date underperformance.

Ezequiel Tovar has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

• Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

The 8.4% Barrel% of the Colorado Rockies grades them out as the #10 group of hitters in the league this year by this metric.

• Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Game Trends

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 124 games (+8.45 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 84 games (+19.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 7.47 vs Colorado Rockies 5.95

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.