Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Picks 6/1/2024

Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

• Date: June 1, 2024
• Venue: T-Mobile Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Reid Detmers - Angels
  • Bryce Miller - Mariners

Betting Odds

Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

On June 1, 2024, the Seattle Mariners, with a record of 31-27 this season, will face off against the struggling Los Angeles Angels, who currently hold a record of 21-35. The game will take place at T-Mobile Park, where the Mariners will enjoy home-field advantage.

The Mariners have been performing above average this season, while the Angels have been enduring a tough campaign. As a result, the Mariners are considered the favorites in this American League West matchup.

On the mound, the Mariners are projected to start right-handed pitcher Bryce Miller, who has had a solid season thus far. Miller has started 11 games with a win-loss record of 4-5. He boasts an impressive ERA of 3.48, although peripheral indicators suggest that he may have been lucky and could potentially perform worse in future outings.

Opposing Miller will be left-handed pitcher Reid Detmers of the Angels. Detmers has a win-loss record of 3-5 this season with an ERA of 5.76. However, his expected fielding independent pitching (xFIP) indicates that he has been unlucky and could potentially perform better going forward.

In terms of offensive performance, the Mariners rank 28th in MLB, while the Angels sit at 12th. The Mariners have struggled with team batting average, ranking 24th, but have displayed average power with the 13th most home runs. The Angels, on the other hand, have excelled in power hitting, ranking 3rd in team home runs, but have struggled in team batting average, ranking 12th.

When it comes to the bullpens, the Mariners rank 20th, while the Angels rank at the bottom, 30th, in MLB. This gives the Mariners a slight advantage in terms of reliever performance.

The Mariners' Julio Rodriguez has been their standout hitter over the past week, while the Angels' Taylor Ward has been performing well during the same period.

As the Mariners possess a higher projected win probability, they enter this game as the betting favorites. The moneyline currently stands at -170 for the Mariners and +150 for the Angels. The game total is set at 7.5 runs, suggesting a potentially low-scoring affair.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Compared to average, Reid Detmers has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying an additional 3.7 adjusted pitches each game.

• Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.

Since the start of last season, Logan O'Hoppe's 15.3% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers.

• Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Logan O'Hoppe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Seattle Mariners:

Bryce Miller has utilized his four-seam fastball 13.4% less often this year (45.1%) than he did last year (58.5%).

• Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.

Mitch Haniger's quickness has declined this year. His 26.65 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.88 ft/sec now.

• Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can't beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners's expected catcher in today's matchup) projects as an elite pitch framer.

• Pitch framing is a catcher's ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, "stealing" strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Game Trends

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+7.45 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+8.90 Units / 13% ROI)
• Jo Adell has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 33 games (+28.60 Units / 87% ROI)

Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Angels 3.73 vs Seattle Mariners 4.19

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