Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers Pick For 8/1/2024

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Details

• Date: August 1, 2024
• Venue: Comerica Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Seth Lugo - Royals
  • Keider Montero - Tigers

Betting Odds

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

Quick Takes Kansas City Royals:

Seth Lugo's higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this season (54.1% compared to 48.2% last season) should work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

• A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.

Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

Kansas City's 89.3-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the elite in baseball: #6 overall.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Quick Takes Detroit Tigers:

Out of all starters, Keider Montero's fastball velocity of 94.7 mph ranks in the 80th percentile this year.

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.

Jake Rogers has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88.8-mph figure.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Zach McKinstry hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-deepest CF fences today.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+10.20 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.45 Units / 20% ROI)
• Hunter Renfroe has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.85 Units / 90% ROI)

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

Final Score: Kansas City Royals 5.17 vs Detroit Tigers 4.26

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