Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics Best Bet – 9/7/2024

• Date: September 7, 2024
• Venue: Oakland Coliseum
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Brant Hurter - Tigers
  • Brady Basso - Athletics

Betting Odds

Detroit Tigers vs Oakland Athletics Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Detroit Tigers vs Oakland Athletics Betting Preview

As the Oakland Athletics prepare to host the Detroit Tigers on September 7, 2024, both clubs will look to gain momentum from their previous matchup, with the Athletics edging out the Tigers 7-6 the day before. Currently, the Athletics sit at 62-80, struggling this season, while the Tigers hold a slightly better 71-71 record, placing them in the middle of the pack.

On the mound for the Athletics is Brady Basso, who will serve as an opener out of the bullpen for this contest. Basso has an ERA of 5.40 this season, but he has only pitched 3.1 innings on the season so far.

Brant Hurter will take the ball for the Tigers. With a solid 3.25 ERA and a 3-1 record this season, he has shown effective pitching. Although projections suggest he may face challenges, he is considered an average pitcher and has demonstrated better recent form, allowing just 2 earned runs in his last start.

Offensively, the Athletics rank 19th overall, with their strength lying in their power, as they are 4th in home runs with 132. Brent Rooker has been their standout hitter, boasting a .301 batting average and 35 home runs this season. The Tigers, on the other hand, rank 24th in offense and have struggled to make an impact, with Riley Greene being their best performer.

With the Athletics’ bullpen ranked 9th in MLB, they may have the advantage should the game remain close. The projections favor the Athletics slightly, with an expected score of 4.29 runs compared to the Tigers' 4.20. This matchup provides an intriguing clash of styles, as the Athletics’ power hitters face a left-handed pitcher known for inducing ground balls, creating an interesting dynamic on the field.

Quick Takes Detroit Tigers:

Brant Hurter was rolling in his previous GS and allowed 1 ER.

• A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.

The Detroit Tigers have 5 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jace Jung, Dillon Dingler, Spencer Torkelson, Trey Sweeney, Riley Greene).

• Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Quick Takes Oakland Athletics:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Brady Basso to be on a pitch count in this game, projecting a maximum of 84 pitches.

• A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.

Brent Rooker has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last season's 94.9-mph average.

• Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Oakland Athletics' bullpen ranks as the 9th-best out of all teams in the majors.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Oakland Athletics have hit the Run Line in 36 of their last 57 games (+10.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Run Line in 40 of their last 65 games (+12.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• Max Schuemann has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+14.40 Units / 42% ROI)

Detroit Tigers vs Oakland Athletics Prediction

Final Score: Detroit Tigers 3.92 vs Oakland Athletics 4.28

Visit the MLB picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.