Tigers at Astros AL Wild Card Game 2 Best Bet – 10/2/2024

• Date: October 2, 2024
• Venue: Minute Maid Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Tyler Holton - Tigers
  • Hunter Brown - Astros

Tigers vs Astros Game 2 Betting Odds

Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Game 2 Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Tigers vs Astros Game 2 Betting Preview

As the American League Wild Card series continues at Minute Maid Park, the Houston Astros are poised to capitalize on their home advantage against the Detroit Tigers. Houston did drop Game 1 at home in this series thanks to a brilliant performance from Tigers ace Tarik Skubal. But the Astros will look to rebound with Hunter Brown on the mound in Game 2, who ranks as the 31st-best starting pitcher in MLB. Brown's consistent right-handed prowess has been a key factor in the Astros securing the #3 spot in team batting average this season, a testament to their potent lineup.

In contrast, the Tigers face a daunting challenge with Tyler Holton starting this game on the mound out of the bullpen. To make matters worse, Detroit's offense has struggled, ranking 23rd in team batting average and 24th in home runs. Despite this, Spencer Torkelson has been a bright spot, posting a 1.010 OPS over the last week, including four RBIs and a homer.

From a betting perspective, the Astros are favored with a moneyline at -175, implying a 61% chance of victory, while the Tigers sit as +150 underdogs. However, the leading MLB projection system, THE BAT X, gives Detroit a 43% win probability, suggesting potential value for bettors willing to back the underdog.

With a game total set at 7.5 runs, expect a tightly contested matchup, especially with both teams featuring strong starting pitchers. The Astros are projected to score 3.83 runs, while the Tigers are at 3.52, indicating a low-scoring affair. With the series on the line, Houston's superior offense and playoff experience give them the edge, but the Tigers' potential to outperform expectations shouldn't be overlooked by savvy bettors.

Quick Takes Detroit Tigers:

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Detroit Tigers' bullpen grades out as the 8th-best out of all MLB teams.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes Houston Astros:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that the Houston Astros will score 3.89 runs on average in this game: the 4th-most of all teams on the slate today.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Game Trends

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 155 games (+16.10 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Run Line in 53 of their last 85 games (+18.30 Units / 16% ROI)

Tigers vs Astros Game 2 Prediction

Final Score: Detroit Tigers 3.52 vs Houston Astros 3.83

Visit the MLB picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.