Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 9/29/2024

• Date: September 29, 2024
• Venue: Comerica Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Jonathan Cannon - White Sox
  • Undecided - Tigers

Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

As the MLB regular season heads toward its conclusion, the Detroit Tigers and Chicago White Sox prepare to face off in the third game of their series on September 29, 2024, at Comerica Park. Detroit, sitting at 86-75, has enjoyed an above-average season and is looking to solidify its positioning in the American League Central. Meanwhile, the White Sox have struggled mightily, owning a dismal 40-121 record, and have long been out of playoff contention.

Detroit has yet to decide on a starting pitcher for this contest. But whoever is on the mound should have a promising outlook against a White Sox lineup that is last in MLB in both team batting average and home runs.

On the other side, the White Sox will counter with Jonathan Cannon, who enters with an average 4.37 ERA. His projections are less than stellar, with anticipated high hit and walk rates. However, Cannon's recent outing was a bright spot, as he went six innings without allowing an earned run, striking out seven.

Offensively, the Tigers rank 24th in MLB, a mark that aligns with their year-to-date performance. Their lineup is led by Riley Greene, although Kerry Carpenter has been hot recently, boasting a 1.048 OPS over the past week. In contrast, the White Sox have struggled across the board, with their offense holding the 30th rank in several key categories.

According to THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, Detroit is a heavy favorite with a 69% win probability. The Tigers' superior bullpen—ranked 5th in our advanced-stat Power Rankings—against Chicago’s 27th-ranked relief corps further tips the scales in Detroit’s favor. Look for the Tigers to capitalize on their advantages and get back on track after dropping the previous game 4-0 to the White Sox.

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

In his previous outing, Jonathan Cannon was on point and allowed 0 ER.

• A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.

Bryan Ramos has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph figure.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Detroit Tigers:

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.181) provides evidence that Spencer Torkelson has had positive variance on his side this year with his .220 actual batting average.

• xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player's batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.

Projected catcher Jake Rogers profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Pitch framing is a catcher's ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, "stealing" strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Game Trends

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 75 games (+19.75 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 away games (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

Final Score: Chicago White Sox 3.38 vs Detroit Tigers 4.84

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