Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 4/13/2024

Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners Overview

• Date: April 13, 2024
• Venue: T-Mobile Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Shota Imanaga - Cubs
  • Emerson Hancock - Mariners
• Run Line: Cubs -1.5 125, Mariners 1.5 -145
• Money Line: Cubs -140, Mariners 120
• Total (Over/Under):8 -110

Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Chicago Cubs - 56%
• Seattle Mariners - 44%

Projected Win %:

• Chicago Cubs - 46.16%
• Seattle Mariners - 53.84%

Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners Game Preview & Prediction

In a highly-anticipated Interleague matchup, the Seattle Mariners are set to face off against the Chicago Cubs at T-Mobile Park on April 13, 2024. The Mariners will be looking to improve their disappointing 5-8 record this season, while the Cubs aim to build on their strong 7-5 start.

Taking the mound for the Mariners is right-handed pitcher Emerson Hancock, who has been having a tough season so far. With a 1-1 record and an alarming 11.42 ERA, Hancock ranks among the worst starting pitchers in the league according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. However, his 4.96 xFIP suggests that he has been unlucky and could perform better going forward.

Opposing Hancock will be left-handed pitcher Shota Imanaga of the Cubs. Imanaga has been solid this season, boasting a 1-0 record and a stellar 0.00 ERA. Although his 3.10 xFIP indicates some regression may be in store, his high strikeout rate of 34.3% could pose a challenge for the Mariners' offense, which ranks second in strikeouts in MLB.

When it comes to offensive production, the Mariners have struggled this season, ranking as the 29th best team in MLB. Their batting average of .XXX places them 24th in the league, while their 13th rank in home runs and 18th rank in stolen bases show some average performance. On the other hand, the Cubs have been impressive, boasting the 4th best offense in MLB. With a top-10 batting average and a high rank in stolen bases, the Cubs' offense will be a challenge for the struggling Mariners.

In terms of pitching, the Mariners' bullpen is ranked 26th in MLB, while the Cubs' bullpen sits at a more respectable 13th position. These rankings indicate a potential advantage for the Cubs in the later innings of the game.

Based on the current odds, the Mariners are considered underdogs with a moneyline of +120, giving them an implied win probability of 44%. The Cubs, on the other hand, are the betting favorites with a moneyline of -140 and an implied win probability of 56%.

With the Mariners' struggling offense and Hancock's poor performance, it will be an uphill battle for Seattle in this game. However, the Cubs' solid offense and Imanaga's strong start to the season give them an edge.

As the Mariners and Cubs take the field, all eyes will be on the pitching duel between Hancock and Imanaga. Will the Mariners' offense come alive, or will the Cubs continue their strong season? Only time will tell as these two teams battle it out on the diamond.

Quick Takes Chicago Cubs:

With 8 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected offense, Shota Imanaga has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

• Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Christopher Morel has strong power (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (29.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Emerson Hancock struggles to strike batters out (16th percentile K%) — great news for Morel.

• If he is less likely to strikeout, he'll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.

Quick Takes Seattle Mariners:

Jorge Polanco has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 94.2-mph EV.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Cubs vs Mariners Prediction: Cubs 4.22 - Mariners 4.34

Stay informed with the most recent MLB news and our analytics-driven MLB picks and predictions all season long.