The Toledo Rockets and Miami RedHawks will meet in some mid-week MACtion on Wednesday at Fred C. Yager Stadium in Oxford. Both teams are sitting at 5-4 overall and can secure bowl eligibility with a win in this contest. Toledo comes in after a dominant 42-3 home victory, while Miami (OH) is coming off a tighter 24-20 loss on the road. Will the Redhawks bounce back, or will Toledo hand them a second straight loss? I attempt to answer that question as I make my Toledo vs Miami (OH) prediction.
Our Toledo vs Miami (OH) Pick
- Pick: Miami (OH) +4.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Toledo Rockets vs Miami RedHawks
- Date & Time: Wednesday, November 12, 2025, 7:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Fred C. Yager Stadium, Oxford, Ohio
- Broadcast: ESPN2
Key Storylines
For Toledo, the story going into this game is about rebounding on the road. They are 5-4 overall and 3-2 in MAC play, but have struggled away from home. They are 0-4 on the road this season and could really use a road win in this spot.
Miami (OH) is 5-4 overall and 4-1 in conference play. The Redhawks are 3-1 at home and will try to bounce back from a 24-21 loss to the Ohio Bobcats on the road last week. That was the first loss of the season in conference play for Miami (OH). They are one of three teams that has just one loss in the MAC so far this season. A win would do a lot to keep them in contention to qualify for the MAC title game.
The key to this game could end up being whether or not Miami (OH) can find a way to slow down Toledo WR Junior Vandeross III. Vandeross has nine touchdown catches this season and is one of Tucker Gleason’s favorite weapons through the air. If the Redhawks can limit him, they could collapse the Toledo offense as a whole.
Quarterback Play
Toledo’s senior QB Tucker Gleason has thrown for over 2,000 yards this season with 15 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. He completed 25-of-31 for 309 yards and 2 passing touchdowns in the Rockets’ blowout win over Northern Illinois last week. Gleason’s ability to find Vandeross could determine this game’s outcome.
Miami’s dual-threat signal-caller Dequan Finn has 1,451 yards, 9 passing touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. He also has 395 rushing yards and 4 rushing touchdowns. Finn’s ability to improvise will be important in this game against a Toledo defense that can be disruptive, even if they have struggled on the road so far this year.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Miami (OH) leads the all-time series over Toledo by a margin of 29-24-1.
- Both teams are 6-3 against the spread this season.
- Both teams have gone over the total in five of their first nine games this season.
Toledo vs Miami (OH) Model Projection
Score Projection: Toledo 27 – Miami (OH) 24
Win Probability: Toledo 52%, Miami (OH) 48%
Final Thoughts
I’m going to take the points with Miami (OH) in this game. Toledo has struggled on the road all season long, including in conference play. While the Rockets could break through and get a win on the road here, I don’t think it will be easy by any means.
