The Alabama Crimson Tide travel to face the Auburn Tigers in the 90th edition of the Iron Bowl. For Alabama, this game carries enormous significance. A win locks up a spot in the conference championship game and puts them firmly in the College Football Playoff conversation. Auburn enters this game under interim leadership, fighting for bowl eligibility, and looking to spoil their rival’s postseason hopes. Before kickoff in the Iron Bowl, continue reading to get my Alabama vs Auburn prediction.
Our Alabama vs Auburn Pick
Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide –5.5
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers
- Date & Time: Saturday, November 29, 2025, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Jordan‑Hare Stadium, Auburn, Alabama
- Broadcast: ABC
Key Storylines
- For Alabama, this is a must‑win game. A victory sends them to the conference title game and greatly increases their odds of making the College Football Playoff. A loss could derail those hopes.
- Auburn, under interim coach DJ Durkin, is playing for bowl eligibility and pride. After firing their previous head coach earlier this month, they’re aiming to salvage the season with a big rivalry win that would get them some extra practice time during bowl season.
- This year’s Iron Bowl returns to prime time, the first night game between these two rivals since 2014. The spotlight, stakes, and national attention are all elevated given how much is on the line for Alabama in this contest.
- Recent history favors Alabama, who have won five straight editions of the rivalry. Even so, Auburn often plays well at home, and this game could be tighter than many expect.
Quarterback Play
Alabama’s offense runs through signal‑caller Ty Simpson, who has thrown for 2,934 yards with 22 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. His season-long production provides a solid foundation for the Crimson Tide’s attack. Auburn’s offense enters the game after a dominant 62‑17 win over FCS Mercer in which freshman quarterback Deuce Knight accounted for six touchdowns. That recent explosion will give the Tigers confidence. But there’s a big difference between moving the ball against Mercer and moving the ball against Alabama.
Betting Trends
- Alabama enters with a strong recent record against the spread, going 7-3-1.
- Auburn is 4-6-1 against the spread heading into the Iron Bowl.
- The under has hit in 6 of Alabama’s first 11 games.
- Auburn’s games have gone under the total 7 times in 11 games.
Alabama vs Auburn Model Projection
Score Projection: Alabama 27 – Auburn 17
Win Probability: Alabama 72%, Auburn 28%
Final Thoughts
It would be incredibly entertaining if Auburn could upset Alabama and generate some incredible conversations on the national level about their spot in the College Football Playoff. But I think that Alabama is going to win this game and cover the spread on the road to keep their season alive behind the passing of Simpson.
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