The Maryland Terrapins and the UNLV Rebels will square off on Monday night in Las Vegas, kicking off their 2025 Players Era Festival campaigns. Both teams come into this game on winning streaks and they will try to pick up a victory to kick off this event that is being held right in UNLV’s backyard. Before this matchup begins in Las Vegas, you will find my UNLV vs Maryland prediction for this matchup below.
Our UNLV vs Maryland Pick
- Pick: UNLV +3.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: UNLV Rebels vs Maryland Terrapins
- Date & Time: November 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET
- Venue: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: TNT
Key Storylines
- Maryland’s offensive firepower. The Terrapins are averaging 82.2 points per game, with graduate guard Diggy Coit putting up 18.4 PPG while shooting 52.8% from three. Their offensive rhythm has been impressive and they will try to get their fourth win in a row in this matchup.
- UNLV’s run-and-gun style. The Rebels average 93.2 PPG, showing they can put the ball in the basket in bunches. They dropped 92 points on Memphis on the road last weekend and will try to build on that impressive performance in this matchup.
- Injury cloud over Maryland. Maryland is dealing with the absence of key forward/center Pharrel Payne, who suffered a lower-body injury. That’s a big loss in terms of inside scoring and rebounding.
- Players Era Tournament setting. This is Maryland’s first time in the Players Era Festival tournament, and the late tip-off time for East Coast fans is unusual. On top of that, UNLV is playing in Las Vegas for this event. It is technically a neutral-site tournament, but the Rebels should have the majority of the fan support in their hometown.
- Ball security will matter. Both teams average around 13 turnovers per game, which could lead to fast-break opportunities or momentum shifts. The team that takes care of the ball the best will give themselves a great chance to win here.
Betting Trends
- ATS Trends: UNLV is 3-2 against the spread so far this season. Maryland is 1-4 against the spread going into Monday night.
- Over/Under Trends: All five of UNLV’s games this season have gone over their totals. Four of Maryland’s first five games have gone over their totals.
UNLV vs Maryland Model Projection
Score Projection: UNLV 78 – Maryland 80
Win Probability: UNLV 42%, Maryland 58%
Final Thoughts
I think that this is going to be an extremely close game between two teams that have looked promising early in the season. Maryland should be able to sneak away with the win in this contest, but I see this as a one-possession game in either direction. The Rebels should cover the spread as an underdog in what will be a fun nightcap from the Players Era Festival.
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