The Atlanta Hawks head into tonight’s road game against the Detroit Pistons coming off a dramatic double-overtime win on Sunday. Detroit is looking for its second straight win after getting a victory in Miami in their last outing. Here, I break down this important Eastern Conference matchup in the NBA and make my Hawks vs Pistons prediction.
Our Hawks vs Pistons Pick
Pick: Detroit Pistons −9.5
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
| Matchup: | Atlanta Hawks @ Detroit Pistons |
|---|---|
| Date & Time: | Monday, December 1, 2025, 7:00 p.m. ET |
| Venue: | Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, Michigan |
| Broadcast: | NBA League Pass |
Hawks vs Pistons Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit −9.5 | Detroit −410 / Atlanta +320 | 234.5 |
Key Storylines
- The Hawks are coming off a 142–134 double-overtime win over the Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday night. They were sparked by a career night from Jalen Johnson, who had 41 points, 14 rebounds, 7 assists. That kind of offensive output shows Atlanta still has weapons even without star guard Trae Young. But that extra effort after a long game could impact their energy for tonight’s road trip.
- Detroit is 16-4 and coming off a win over the Miami Heat in their last outing. Cade Cunningham is orchestrating their offense efficiently, and role players like Tobias Harris and Duncan Robinson are providing scoring and floor spacing. Even with a few questionable bodies, Detroit has a deep enough rotation to handle games like this at home.
- The Pistons list guard Marcus Sasser (hip) out, with Jalen Duren (leg), Robinson (ankle), Bobi Klintman (ankle) and Caris LeVert (knee) all questionable. The Hawks have question marks as well. Aside from Young’s absence, Kristaps Porziņģis is listed as questionable due to illness. That could affect both depth and consistency, particularly on defense and rebounding.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- These teams met on November 18, 2025, with Detroit winning 120–112. In that game, Cade Cunningham had 25 points and 10 assists, while Jalen Johnson led the Hawks with 25 points.
- The Pistons are 13–7–0 against the spread overall this season.
- Atlanta is 11-10 against the spread going into Monday night.
- The Hawks are 12-9 to the over so far this year.
- The Pistons have gone 11-8-1 to the over through 20 games.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop to Consider |
|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | Over 28.5 Points |
| Tobias Harris | Over 13.5 Points |
| Duncan Robinson | Over 2.5 Made Threes |
Hawks vs Pistons Model Projection
Projected Score: Detroit Pistons 123 – Atlanta Hawks 111
Win Probability: Detroit 75%, Atlanta 25%
Final Thoughts
The Pistons should be able to win big on their home floor on Monday night. The Hawks are on the second night of a back-to-back, missing their best player, and played two overtimes last night. I’ll go with the Pistons to win this game by double-digits on their home floor to open the Monday night NBA slate.
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ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
