Djokovic vs Sinner Under 36.5 Games (-115)
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- Last year, Djokovic spotted Sinner a two-set lead in the quarterfinals at this tournament and still won in five sets. He will not let Sinner get out to another lead this time around.
- The defense of Djokovic will force Sinner to try and hit too big and that will tilt the scales in Djokovic’s favor.
The semifinals of this year’s Wimbledon will begin with an electric matchup between Novak Djokovic and Jannik Sinner. These men faced off in the quarterfinals a year ago, with Djokovic taking that match in five sets. This time around, Sinner will aim to finish the job, while Djokovic will look to win in a less suspenseful affair. Here, we make our tennis betting picks for this Djokovic vs Sinner semifinal from the All England Club.
Djokovic vs Sinner Betting Pick
Under 36.5 Games (-115)
✅ After dropping the first two sets to Sinner in the quarterfinals of last year’s Wimbledon, Djokovic dropped just seven total games in the final three sets, and he will perform more like that from the start of this match.
✅ From a matchup perspective, the defense of Djokovic is going to force Sinner to try and overhit in key moments to try and put points away, and that will work in the favor of Djokovic.
✅ Djokovic had 19 unforced errors in the first two sets against Sinner last year. That will not happen again.
Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic has already taken the lead in terms of most majors won in the history of men’s tennis. This week, he is just two wins away from extending that lead over Rafael Nadal, as Djokovic is the favorite to finish the job and close out Wimbledon for his 24th major crown. To get to the final, though, he will need to play a cleaner match than he did against Jannik Sinner when they met last year at Wimbledon.
Djokovic had a total of 33 unforced errors against Sinner in that quarterfinal match. But 19 of those errors came in the first two sets, allowing the young Italian to take a 2-0 lead in that contest. If Djokovic can limit his mistakes early, he could take this match over from the start and try to get off the court quickly so that he is as fresh as possible for a potential final.
Jannik Sinner
Heading into this Djokovic vs Sinner clash, the player with nothing to lose is Jannik Sinner. He has dropped just two sets at this tournament so far, and can play freely knowing that he is the underdog against arguably the greatest to ever play this sport. But after Sinner came so close to beating Djokovic a year ago, he will be out for revenge here.
For Sinner, taking advantage of second serve return opportunities will determine how this match goes. He won nearly two-thirds of the return points on the Djokovic second serve in the first two sets of their match at Wimbledon last year, before Djokovic was able to start winning more of those points and ran away with the match. Sinner needs to consistently beat the Djokovic second serve if he is going to have a chance to make his first major final.
