Alcaraz vs Medvedev Over 39.5 Games (-115)
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- Medvedev has beaten Alcaraz at Wimbledon before, and assuming one-way traffic against Medvedev here is flat out silly.
- Both Alcaraz and Medvedev have had trouble winning in straight sets in this tournament so far, and this match should go four or five sets.
The second semifinal in the gentlemen’s draw at Wimbledon promises to be a great one, as Carlos Alcaraz takes on Daniil Medvedev. Medvedev and Alcaraz both have a major title under their belts, and the winner of this match will have a chance to add a second to their career tally in the final at the All England Club. Continue reading to get our tennis betting picks for this massive Alcaraz vs Medvedev semifinal tilt.
Alcaraz vs Medvedev Betting Pick
Over 39.5 Games (-115)
✅ This match has four or five sets written all over it, as both of these men have dropped at least a set to inferior opponents in two of their matches during this campaign.
✅ Alcaraz is the favorite here, but Medvedev is 1-0 lifetime against Alcaraz at Wimbledon. There is no way that either of these men is going down without a fight in what should be a long match to determine the second finalist.
Carlos Alcaraz enters the semifinals of this year’s Wimbledon having won his quarterfinal match against Holger Rune in straight sets. After needing four sets to take out Matteo Berrettini in the round of 16, getting off the court in straights was huge for Alcaraz coming into this semifinal. But Alcaraz is now in for his biggest test of this fortnight, against a player in Medvedev who beat him in straight sets the last time they played here.
For Alcaraz, the key to this match will be staying solid with his defensive tennis instead of trying to hit Medvedev off the court. Medvedev is an incredible defender in his own right, but can get frustrated when things are not going his way. Playing lockdown tennis and forcing that frustration out of the Russian could be the key for Carlitos in this Alcaraz vs Medvedev matchup.
For Daniil Medvedev, it looked like he might not even get to the semifinals here at Wimbledon. In the quarterfinal round, he fell behind 2-1 against American Chris Eubanks, before storming back to win the final two sets to survive and advance to this stage. Now Medvedev will need to put together a much better performance from the start if he is going to cut down a player in Alcaraz who has done a lot of growing up since they last met at Wimbledon in 2021.
Since that matchup at Wimbledon, Medvedev was taken out in straight sets by Alcaraz at Indian Wells. But bettors should not pay that result any mind, as Medvedev has shown flat out disdain for playing at that tournament thanks to the slow nature of its hard courts. Instead, it will be up to Medvedev to prove he has the mental fortitude to survive this clash in an environment he is more suited to play in.