
Lynx +11 over Liberty
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- The Lynx have covered the spread in all three games they have played without Napheesa Collier of late, with those games coming against the Liberty and Sun.
- While lookahead spots are typically garbage, there could be a good justification for betting against the Liberty here, as they face the mighty Las Vegas Aces on Sunday.
The New York Liberty lost to the Minnesota Lynx a week ago in one of the biggest upsets of the 2023 WNBA season. On Friday night, the Lynx will look to upset the Liberty again, while the Liberty look to exact revenge. In our WNBA betting picks for Friday night, we break down this Liberty vs Lynx matchup that kicks off a huge weekend for New York in the W.
Liberty vs Lynx Betting Pick
Lynx +11 over Liberty
Why Bet on the Lynx:
✅ Minnesota has been without Napheesa Collier for the last three games, but the Lynx have held their own in those games against the Liberty and Sun on the road. Back at home, they will cover the number against an elite team once again without their top scorer.
✅ The Liberty face the Aces at home in arguably the biggest game of their season on Sunday. As a result, the Liberty may not be quite as focused on the task at hand as they would normally be.
✅ This is the third straight road game for the Liberty, who spent the bulk of this past week in Los Angeles dealing with the Sparks. The road weary Liberty will not be as good as usual given all of the travel and time away from home they have been dealing with.
This game will be played at Target Center at 8:00 PM ET on Friday, August 4, 2023.
New York Liberty
The New York Liberty come into Friday night in second place in the WNBA standings at 20-6 on the season. They swept the LA Sparks in Los Angeles in their last two games, though both of those contests were closer than the Liberty would have liked. Here, the Liberty will aim for a more convincing road win, though it will have to come against a Lynx team that has already beaten them this season.
Stopping the duo of Diamond Miller and Kayla McBride will be the key to this contest for the Liberty. That duo combined for 48 points in Minnesota’s win over the Liberty last Friday night. Defending elite perimeter players is a weak point for the Liberty, one that must be addressed in this contest.
Minnesota Lynx
The Minnesota Lynx are in sixth place in the WNBA standings, an incredible achievement given that this was supposed to be a rebuilding year for their franchise. Young players like Diamond Miller have stepped up for this team, especially in the absence of Napheesa Collier, to make them a playoff-caliber squad that is capable of going toe-to-toe with the best the league has to offer. On Friday, they will look to prove that once again as they face the Liberty.
For Minnesota, the key to this game is going to be controlling the glass, as they outrebounded the Liberty the last time these teams met. Not giving up second chances to a team with an offense as lethal as New York’s is their only chance to win here, and the Lynx have proven they are capable of doing just that.