The reigning Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich are safe at the top of the standings, but they cannot afford to drop points when they meet Wolfsburg at Volkswagen Arena on Saturday. With Leipzig five points behind and six rounds to go, the Bavarians are in a pole position to add another title to their shelves. Wolfsburg, on the other hand, is in 3rd place with 11 points behind Bayern. They are hoping to clinch the Champions League spot for the next season.
Hans-Dieter Flick’s team is a -114 favorite on William Hill Sportsbook to get three points and stay at a safe distance from Leipzig. Check out the latest news and stats and see the best Wolfsburg vs. Bayern Munich betting pick.
Wolfsburg vs. Bayern Munich
Three-way: 1: Wolfsburg +290; X: +300 Draw; 2: Bayern Munich -114
Spread +0.5: Wolfsburg -104; Bayern Munich -106
Total 2.5 Goals: Over -182; Under +150
Both Teams to Score: Yes -182; No +160
Following a 4-3 defeat to Frankfurt (Apr 10), only a win for Wolfsburg here can realistically maintain their very remote hopes of a first Bundesliga title since 2009. Despite the defeat at Deutsche Bank Park, it was Die Wolfe’s second game in three to see them open the scoring inside the first ten minutes, and their third in four to see the opposition suffer an own goal.
Wolfsburg currently sits on a run of 13 Bundesliga home matches without defeat (W9, D4), thanks partly to them recovering points after conceding first in three (W2, D1) of the five games that saw goals both ways. However, with five ‘HT/FT double’ defeats in their last ten Bundesliga H2Hs vs Bayern Munich (D1, L9), that run seems likely to end here.
Oliver Glasner cannot count on Josuha Guilavogui (groin), Admir Mehmedi (calf), and Renato Steffen (ankle).
- Josip Brekalo scored decisively in Wolfsburg’s last home game for a 1-0 win, making four of his last six goals decisive openers
- Wolfsburg kept the clean sheet in six consecutive home games in all competitions
Bayern entered the new week five points clear at the top with 18 still available to every title contender, after they were held to a poor 1-1 draw at home to 2020/21 surprise package Union Berlin (Apr 10). That result came after five straight league wins for Bayern, the last four of which saw them score at least 50% of their match goals before the interval.
The last of those five wins above (1-0 vs. RB Leipzig) saw the winner come late in the first half (38’), meaning that Bayern has scored at least once between the 31st minute and HT in 14 of their last 16 away league victories. It is this type of ruthless consistency that has helped Bayern lead at HT in each of their last nine clean-sheet away league wins.
Hans-Dieter Flick will be without Douglas Costa (ankle), Serge Gnabry (illness), Leon Goretzka (muscle), and Robert Lewandowski (knee). Marc Roca (knock), Niklas Sule (muscle), and Corentin Tolisso (tendon) are also unavailable.
- Including junior-level strikes, Jamal Musiala’s three prior away goals for Die Roten have specifically changed the scoreline to 2-0
- Three of Bayerns last five Bundesliga wins vs Wolfsburg have seen them win both individual halves
Bayern Munich won nine of the previous ten H2H encounters (D1), and are on a six-game winning streak over Wolfsburg. The Wolves are without a league win against Bayern since 2015, when they beat them at Volkswagen Arena, but have lost five consecutive to the Bavarians at home.
Bayern is dealing with a lot of injuries lately and they will not have an easy job on Saturday. They also had a Champions League match against PSG in midweek, so I expect them to be a bit tired late in the game. Go against the odds and bet on a double chance on the home side.
The Pick: Double Chance Wolfsburg to win or draw (-106)