With only two rounds to go in Bundesliga and Bayern Munich crowned new/old champions, Leipzig can secure second place with a point when they host Wolfsburg at Red Bull Arena on Sunday. The Wolves, on the other hand, are in 3rd position with good chances of securing the Champions League football next season. However, with Dortmund two and Frankfurt three points behind, the visitors cannot afford to lose this one.
Leipzig is a +114 favorite on William Hill Sportsbook to get three points to clinch 2nd place. Check out the latest news and stats and see the best Red Bull Leipzig vs. Wolfsburg betting pick.
Red Bull Leipzig vs. Wolfsburg
Three-way: 1: Leipzig +114; X: +229 Draw; 2: Wolfsburg +240
Spread -0.5: Leipzig +116; Wolfsburg -123
Total 2.5 Goals: Over -125; Under +118
Both Teams to Score: Yes -149; No +138
RED BULL LEIPZIG
RB Leipzig must pick themselves up from the heartache of a DFB-Pokal hammering in midweek as just a point can secure second place in the Bundesliga for only the second time in their history, although a win will set them up to beat their highest-ever top-flight points haul (67). Easier said than done when Leipzig have picked up just four of the last 12 available points, during a four-game period that saw them open the scoring just once.
They’re also winless in three of their previous four final home games of a Bundesliga campaign, albeit the one win was a 4-1 thumping of Wolfsburg – a result that kick-started Leipzig’s current five-game unbeaten H2H home run (W4, D1). What could set them back from extending that is an attack that’s scored only 1.69 goals on average per league game here – the worst home attacking record of any of the division’s top-five sides.
Julian Nagelsmann will be without Tyler Adams (back), Lazar Samardzic (knee), and Dominik Szoboszlai (groin).
- Dani Olmo was Leipzig’s first (and only) goalscorer in midweek and has seen three of his last four Bundesliga strikes open the match scoring
- Leipzig won only one of the last four games at home
On a 12-game run without a draw (W7, L5), Wolfsburg will harbor their own ambitions of finishing second for the first time since 2014/15. However, they’ve struggled against the teams around them and have conceded 2+ goals in their previous seven competitive matches against top-five sides, whilst losing the last four in a row.
Three defeats from their last five competitive away games don’t inspire either (W2), although that hasn’t been down to starting slowly as the Wolves have scored before HT in seven straight Bundesliga road trips, netting the opener by the 15th minute in the previous three.
Oliver Glasner cannot count on Bartosz Bialek (knee), Kevin Mbabu (stomach), and Renato Steffen (ankle).
- Wout Weghorst scored before HT in the reverse and has scored before the 50th minute in Wolfsburg’s last four away games
- Fourteen of Wolfsburg’s last 15 Bundesliga games saw the same HT/FT result
Leipzig won five of the previous ten H2H encounters (D4, L1) and is undefeated in the last seven (W4, D3), while the Red Bulls were victorious in four of the past five meetings at Red Bull Arena (D1). This matchup is obviously not Wolfsburg’s favorable, but the visitors have a big motivation to stay unbeaten, and there is no doubt they will try to win all three points. Leipzig will be emotionally drained following a heavy loss to Dortmund in the DFB Pokal, so I am backing Wolfsburg to exploit that and get a positive result on Sunday.
The Pick: Double Chance Wolfsburg to win or draw (-135)