The action in Germany continues with Round 24 when the reigning champions visit the second-placed RB Leipzig at Red Bull Arena. Bayern Munich are slight +135 favorites on William Hill Sportsbook to get three points and get closer to defending the title.
Leipzig, on the other hand, is looking to close the gap between them and the reigning champions to one point with a win on Saturday. At the moment, these two sides are the only legit contenders for the title. Let’s see what these rivals can bring up on Saturday and what’s the best RB Leipzig vs. Bayern Munich betting pick.
RB Leipzig vs. Bayern Munich
Three-way: 1: RB Leipzig +175; X: +270 Draw; 2: Bayern Munich +135
Spread 0: RB Leipzig +112; Bayern Munich -114
Total 3 Goals: Over -115; Under +102
Both Teams to Score: Yes -208; No +179
RED BULL LEIPZIG
Ahead of this crucial Bundesliga title six-pointer, second-placed RB Leipzig trail Bayern Munich by just four points. In reality, a defeat will likely all but end their interest in a maiden top-flight title, but Leipzig are unbeaten in eight league matches (W7, D1), within which half of the last six victories saw them precisely lead 1-0 at HT.
A draw would be dissatisfying for the hosts – but not disastrous – and notably, Leipzig have drawn all five of their Bundesliga matches entered as betting outsiders since the start of 2019/20. On that topic, each of their last three score draws in the Bundesliga have seen them net first and then concede Goal 2, while also shipping the last goal on two occasions.
Julian Nagelsmann will be without Angelino, Marcel Halstenberg, Kevin Kampl, Konrad Laimer, Dominik Szoboszlai, and Dayot Upamecano.
- Marcel Sabitzer gave RB Leipzig their last win, and now three of his last five goals have been decisive openers
- Two of Sabitzer’s four prior penalty goals this term have also sealed victory
Bayern Munich may be favorites, but star striker Robert Lewandowski’s injury is a major blow. That said, Bayern’s ten-game league form without Lewandowski bears no defeats (W8, D2). Five of the last seven wins therein saw Bayern win the second half by a two-goal margin.
Without Lewandowski, Bayern will find it all the more difficult to recover after a poor start if necessary. On that note, the Reds’ FT league record from games trailed at HT since the start of 2019/20 reads: W1, D4, L4. However, their overall second-half goal difference this term against other teams that spent the March international break inside the top six is +9 (GF11, GA2).
Hans-Dieter Flick cannot count on Jerome Boateng, Douglas Costa, Alphonso Davies, Robert Lewandowski, and Corentin Tolisso.
- Bayern could be newly reliant on Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting, as two of his three domestic goals this term have been match openers inside the first 30 minutes
- A 53.33% majority (eight) of Bayern’s last 15 goals scored between 31’-HT during an away league win have proven decisive
Bayern won five of the previous ten H2H encounters (D4, L1), and are undefeated in the last six (W2, D4), while the Bavarians are without a loss in the past three meetings at Red Bull Arena (W1, D2). The defending champions are a different team without one of the deadliest strikers in the world, Lewandowski, and they could find it hard to outscore the opponent on Saturday. Even though Bayern have a better team, I am going with a draw in this one. After all, each of the previous three H2H matches ended without a winner.
The Pick: Draw (+270)