With only five games to go, we have four teams battling for the Ligue 1 title, and this duel could be decisive when Lyon hosts Lille at Parc Olympique Lyonnais on Sunday. Lille is at the top of the standings with three points ahead of the 4th placed Lyon, so it is a massive game for both teams.
Lyon is a favorite on William Hill Sportsbook to get three points here and make the title race even more interesting. Let’s check out the best Lyon vs. Lille betting pick.
Lyon vs. Lille
Three-way: 1: Lyon +110; X: +240 Draw; 2: Lille +250
Spread -0.5: Lyon +144; Lille -133
Total 2.5 Goals: Over +108; Under -115
Both Teams to Score: Yes -111; No +104
A huge blockbuster of a Sunday-night game awaits, as fourth-placed Lyon welcomes league leaders Lille in a genuine title six-pointer. Looking to claim their first title since 2007/08, Lyon is in good form at the right time, with just one loss in their previous eight Ligue 1 matches (W4, D3). They have been particularly efficient just before the break, scoring nearly half (47.69%) of their league goals this season from the 16th minute to HT.
A fast-paced start could be forthcoming here, given that the opener has been scored within 25 minutes in four of Lyon’s last five L1 home fixtures. Relevantly, just one of the previous ten L1 H2Hs has witnessed a goalless first half, further adding to hopes of a ‘blockbuster’.
Rudi Garcia cannot count on Djameleddine Benlamri (muscle), Sinaly Diomande (suspension), and Tino Kadewere (thigh).
- Memphis Depay has scored a brace in four of his six goalscoring Ligue 1 matches in 2021. As for the visitors’ potential heroes
- Lyon rescued 1.14 points on average when conceding the opener at home this L1 season (W2, D2, L3)
Despite winning just two of their previous five league outings (D2, L1), visitors Lille still sit in the league’s top spot but recently saw their lead shrink to a single point. In any case, with 63.64% of their Ligue 1 fixtures witnessing under 2.5 match goals (for a joint-league low average of 2.24 total goals per game) scoring first will be vital for Lille.
Hoping to extend their unbeaten run of 11 L1 away games (W9, D2), the visitors have been dominant after HT when playing away, keeping a second-half clean sheet in all but one of their 16 L1 away matches to date. That run could continue here, as Les Dogues are unbeaten in their last six competitive road trips to Lyon (W3, D3 – 90 minutes).
- Jonathan Bamba has been Lille’s first goalscorer with five of his six L1 goals, including in the reverse H2H
- Lille is unbeaten in the last 11 road matches in Ligue 1
Lille won four of the previous ten H2H encounters (D4, L2), and is unbeaten in Ligue 1 H2H matches since 2016. Les Dogues were victorious in three of the past four L1 H2H meetings at Parc Olympique Lyonnais, so it’s going to be a tough task for the home side to get three points here.
Considering that five of the previous seven H2H duels finished without a winner, including one cup game, I am leaning toward a draw in this one. Furthermore, both teams will be looking not to lose the game, so I expect respective defenses to be extra cautious. I am going with a draw, but if you want to make more money, you can back a draw with both teams to score. Seven of the last ten H2H matches produced goals on both ends.
The Pick: Draw (+240)
Additional Pick: Draw & Both teams to score YES (+375)