
Heat +5 (-110) over Mavericks
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- The Mavericks have lost three straight games, as it clearly takes more than a big game from Luka Doncic to win games.
- Duncan Robinson’s insertion into the starting lineup has helped the Heat be more dangerous offensively of late.
The Miami Heat will be facing off against the Dallas Mavericks on March 7, 2024, at 7:30 pm EST. Draftkings sportsbook has the Miami Heat as 4.5 point underdogs and the Dallas Mavericks as 4.5 point favorites. Currently, the Miami Heat are receiving 62% of the spread bets, while the Dallas Mavericks have 38%. The total opening at (231.5 -112) is showing a strong lean towards the over, with 83% of bets going in that direction. This matchup between the Miami Heat and the Dallas Mavericks is sure to be a thrilling and competitive game to watch.
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This Heat vs Mavericks matchup should go the way of the Miami Heat, who we like the cover the spread on the road. Miami’s defense is much better than that of the Mavs, who have been getting crushed by even the bad teams on their schedule of late. Dallas has lost three games in a row and they could very well lose this game outright as a home favorite, as they have in their last couple of contests against the 76ers and Pacers.
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NBA
Miami Heat
Dallas Mavericks
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
67 Games 69 40.6 FG 43.1 88.8 FGA 92.4 .457 FG% .467 14.1 3Pt-FG 13.0 39.2 3Pt-FGA 35.7 .359 3Pt% .362 26.5 2Pt-FG 30.1 49.6 2Pt-FGA 56.6 .534 2Pt% .532 16.8 FT 16.6 21.3 FTA 21.3 .790 FT% .782 9.7 ORB 12.4 34.7 DRB 33.6 44.4 TRB 45.9 26.9 AST 27.1 8.1 STL 8.0 3.8 BLK 4.8 14.0 TOV 13.4 16.2 PF 18.7 112.0 PTS 115.8
MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
67 Games 69 42.4 FG 42.3 91.1 FGA 89.0 .465 FG% .475 14.1 3Pt-FG 13.1 39.5 3Pt-FGA 35.6 .357 3Pt% .367 28.3 2Pt-FG 29.2 51.6 2Pt-FGA 53.5 .548 2Pt% .546 14.6 FT 17.8 18.6 FTA 22.8 .785 FT% .778 11.0 ORB 10.5 35.2 DRB 33.1 46.3 TRB 43.5 27.5 AST 25.4 7.6 STL 7.9 4.8 BLK 5.6 13.9 TOV 13.9 17.7 PF 18.1 113.5 PTS 115.3 Four Factors
MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.536 eFG% .537 12.5 TOV% 11.6 21.6 RB% 72.8 .190 FT/FGA .180
MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.543 eFG% .548 12.2 TOV% 12.3 75.9 RB% 23.8 .160 FT/FGA .199 Analytics
MIA
Analytics
DAL
31 Pythag Wins 34 36 Pythag Losses 35 -1.39 Margin Of Victory -0.43 112.0 O Rtg 115.3 113.5 D Rtg 115.8 96.2 Pace 99.1 .240 FTr .256 .442 3PAr .399 .571 TS% .582 Betting Trends
MIA
Betting Trends
DAL
OVERALL OVERALL 2-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 0-3-0 1-2-0 ATS W/L/P 0-3-0 113.67 Avg Score 115.33 111 Avg Opp Score 131.67 AWAY HOME 2-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 1-2-0 3-0-0 ATS W/L/P 1-2-0 108 Avg Score 119.67 103 Avg Opp Score 123.33
MIA
Betting Trends
DAL
OVERALL OVERALL 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 1-4-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 113.6 Avg Score 120.2 107.8 Avg Opp Score 128.2 AWAY HOME 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-2-0 5-0-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 107.8 Avg Score 117.4 101.6 Avg Opp Score 113.4
MIA
Betting Trends
DAL
OVERALL OVERALL 8-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 8-2-0 ATS W/L/P 5-5-0 112.8 Avg Score 120.9 104.9 Avg Opp Score 119.5 AWAY HOME 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 6-3-1 ATS W/L/P 3-7-0 106.5 Avg Score 120.5 105.8 Avg Opp Score 118.8 Head to Head
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