Denver Nuggets VS Miami Heat Betting Pick & Preview - 03/13/2024

Denver Nuggets VS Miami Heat Betting Pick & Preview – 3/13/2024

Jay Sanin on March 13th, 2024

Nuggets -198

Heat +164

Heat +4.5 (-110) over Nuggets

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Nuggets -198

Heat +164

The Nuggets have won nine of their last 10 games but they are just 18-14 at home so far this season.
Jimmy Butler should be good to go for the Heat despite dealing with an illness and that should be a huge lift for Miami.

The Denver Nuggets will face off with the Miami Heat on March 13, 2024 at 7:30 pm ET. The opening betting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook have the Denver Nuggets as 5.0 point favorites.

The early action has the Denver Nuggets taking 86% of the spread bets, while the Miami Heat are getting 14% of the bets.

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

We get an NBA Finals rematch in Wednesday’s Nuggets vs Heat matchup from South Florida. In that game, look for the Miami Heat to cover the spread as an underdog on their home floor. Not only are the Heat looking to exact revenge on the Nuggets for the outcome of the Finals. The Nuggets are also just not that good on the road this year, going just 18-14 away from Ball Arena, where they are 27-6. Miami should have Jimmy Butler in this game, which should help them keep this game within a possession or win it outright.

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NBA

Mar 13, 2024 07:30 PM

Denver Nuggets

Miami Heat

Spread Pick Consensus

-3.5/-112

+3.5/-108

46% DEN

MIA 54%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-165

+137

85% DEN

MIA 15%

Total Pick Consensus

217.0/-108

217.0/-112

38% UN

OV 62%

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

DEN	Team Stats Per Game	MIA
67	Games	66
45.7	FG	41.2
90.1	FGA	88.8
.507	FG%	.464
12.2	3Pt-FG	13.8
31.8	3Pt-FGA	38.7
.382	3Pt%	.357
33.5	2Pt-FG	27.4
58.3	2Pt-FGA	50.2
.574	2Pt%	.546
17.7	FT	14.3
22.9	FTA	18.2
.774	FT%	.784
11.2	ORB	10.7
34.5	DRB	34.3
45.7	TRB	45.0
31.0	AST	26.7
8.0	STL	7.5
4.7	BLK	4.7
14.1	TOV	13.6
17.6	PF	17.3
121.2	PTS	110.5

Defense/Offense

DEN	Team Stats Per Game	MIA
67	Games	66
43.3	FG	39.6
93.2	FGA	86.6
.465	FG%	.458
14.0	3Pt-FG	13.8
38.5	3Pt-FGA	38.3
.364	3Pt%	.361
29.3	2Pt-FG	25.8
54.7	2Pt-FGA	48.3
.536	2Pt%	.535
16.1	FT	16.5
20.5	FTA	20.9
.784	FT%	.790
11.7	ORB	9.5
30.8	DRB	33.9
42.5	TRB	43.4
29.2	AST	26.3
8.8	STL	7.9
5.2	BLK	3.7
13.0	TOV	13.7
18.9	PF	15.8
116.7	PTS	109.6

Team Stats Per 100 Poss

Offense/Defense

DEN	Team Stats Per 100 Poss	MIA
67	Games	66
45.3	FG	42.2
89.4	FGA	91.1
.507	FG%	.464
12.1	3Pt-FG	14.1
31.6	3Pt-FGA	39.6
.382	3Pt%	.357
33.2	2Pt-FG	28.1
57.9	2Pt-FGA	51.4
.574	2Pt%	.546
17.6	FT	14.6
22.7	FTA	18.7
.774	FT%	.784
11.1	ORB	11.0
34.2	DRB	35.2
45.4	TRB	46.2
30.8	AST	27.4
8.0	STL	7.6
4.7	BLK	4.8
14.0	TOV	13.9
17.4	PF	17.7
120.3	PTS	113.2

Defense/Offense

DEN	Team Stats Per 100 Poss	MIA
67	Games	66
43.0	FG	40.6
92.5	FGA	88.7
.465	FG%	.458
13.9	3Pt-FG	14.2
38.2	3Pt-FGA	39.2
.364	3Pt%	.361
29.1	2Pt-FG	26.5
54.3	2Pt-FGA	49.5
.536	2Pt%	.535
16.0	FT	16.9
20.4	FTA	21.4
.784	FT%	.790
11.6	ORB	9.7
30.5	DRB	34.8
42.2	TRB	44.5
29.0	AST	26.9
8.7	STL	8.1
5.2	BLK	3.8
12.9	TOV	14.0
18.8	PF	16.2
115.8	PTS	112.3

Four Factors

Offense/Defense

DEN	Four Factors	MIA
.574	eFG%	.541
12.3	TOV%	12.3
26.7	RB%	76.0
.196	FT/FGA	.161

Defense/Offense

DEN	Four Factors	MIA
.540	eFG%	.538
11.3	TOV%	12.5
74.6	RB%	21.7
.173	FT/FGA	.190

Analytics

DEN	Analytics	MIA
42	Pythag Wins	31
25	Pythag Losses	35
4.46	Margin Of Victory	-0.89
120.3	O Rtg	112.3
115.8	D Rtg	113.2
100.0	Pace	96.2
.254	FTr	.241
.353	3PAr	.442
.605	TS%	.572

Open

Current

Book

DEN

MIA

DEN

MIA

Consensus

-2.5 -111

+2.5 -110

-3.5 -111

+3.5 -110

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-3.5 -110

+3.5 -110

-3.5 -110

+3.5 -110

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Open

Current

Book

DEN

MIA

DEN

MIA

Consensus

-140

+118

-165

+137

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-150

+125

-170

+140

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

213.5 -110

217.0 -112

217.0 -109

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215.0 -110

217.5 -112

217.5 -108

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215.5 -110

217.5 -110

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215.0 -110

217.0 -110

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

214.5 -115

214.5 -105

217.5 -110

Betting Trends

DEN	Betting Trends	MIA
OVERALL		OVERALL
3-0-0	Win/Loss/Tie	0-3-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
127.33	Avg Score	105.33
116.33	Avg Opp Score	110.33
AWAY		HOME
3-0-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
123.33	Avg Score	117.33
109.67	Avg Opp Score	113.33

DEN	Betting Trends	MIA
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
122.6	Avg Score	112
116	Avg Opp Score	112.2
AWAY		HOME
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
114.2	Avg Score	114.8
115.2	Avg Opp Score	110.8

DEN	Betting Trends	MIA
OVERALL		OVERALL
9-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	6-4-0
7-3-0	ATS W/L/P	6-4-0
120.9	Avg Score	109.9
109.8	Avg Opp Score	106.9
AWAY		HOME
6-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-5-0
5-4-1	ATS W/L/P	4-6-0
109.6	Avg Score	112
112.2	Avg Opp Score	111.9

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
02/29/24	MIA DEN	214.5 -6.5	+205 -254	20 36	31 20	19 27	27 20	97 103
06/12/23	MIA DEN	210.0 -8.0	+271 -345	24 22	27 22	20 26	18 24	89 94
06/09/23	DEN MIA	211.5 3.0	-147 +123	20 21	35 30	31 22	22 22	108 95
06/07/23	DEN MIA	213.0 3.5	-165 +138	24 24	29 24	29 20	27 26	109 94
06/04/23	MIA DEN	216.0 -8.0	+265 -330	26 23	25 34	24 26	36 25	111 108
06/01/23	MIA DEN	219.0 -9.0	+294 -379	20 29	22 30	21 25	30 20	93 104
02/13/23	DEN MIA	217.5 -1.0	-104 -117	27 36	38 26	24 21	23 25	112 108
12/30/22	MIA DEN	224.0 -4.0	+149 -180	19 23	38 37	33 25	29 39	119 124
11/29/21	DEN MIA	205.5 -3.0	+126 -150	32 23	31 20	32 35	25 33	120 111
11/08/21	MIA DEN	203.5 1.5	-124 +103	25 30	24 34	21 27	26 22	96 113

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
03/14/25	LAL DEN	282.5 -18.5	+900 -1435	49 39	33 48	39 38	33 36	155 161
03/12/25	MIN DEN	333.9 -2.1	+153 -179	49 37	33 32	46 39	37 29	165 136
03/10/25	DEN OKC	328.5 -13.0	+414 -522	46 44	45 56	46 36	53 38	191 173
03/09/25	DEN OKC	398.7 -12.3	+399 -483	48 46	51 54	38 41	33 67	169 209
03/05/25	SAC DEN	128.8 -4.7	+148 -184	23 16	13 14	15 16	5 18	60 64
03/02/25	DEN BOS	267.2 -6.2	+208 -247	23 36	32 33	33 25	29 31	116 124
02/28/25	DEN DET	315.7 -2.6	+144 -170	51 41	38 42	51 32	36 42	177 157
02/27/25	DEN MIL	64.2 0.2	-41 +35	2 2	2 2	2 2	2 3	30 32
02/24/25	DEN IND	225.5 2.9	-142 +121	33 26	26 27	33 23	23 30	114 106
02/22/25	LAL DEN	272.9 -7.3	+227 -272	42 35	28 26	37 37	30 15	137 112

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
03/14/25	BOS MIA	261.0 11.4	-374 +308	37 28	25 33	34 33	31 17	127 112
03/12/25	LAC MIA	295.9 -2.9	+155 -182	43 29	39 46	50 46	39 29	171 149
03/10/25	CHA MIA	296.4 -12.3	+433 -553	29 46	42 33	29 26	44 34	143 139
03/08/25	CHI MIA	209.3 -5.1	+155 -185	22 33	22 18	28 32	33 19	106 101
03/07/25	MIN MIA	104.9 0.8	-76 +65	16 12	4 13	13 13	13 12	51 50
03/05/25	MIA CLE	120.3 -7.4	+321 -481	18 20	15 15	13 13	14 14	59 61
03/03/25	WAS MIA	75.1 -2.9	+98 -122	3 11	1 3	11 3	3 3	31 37
02/28/25	IND MIA	294.6 5.2	-199 +167	46 38	45 51	30 38	37 37	158 165
02/26/25	ATL MIA	225.4 -2.9	+123 -146	27 28	36 35	27 41	16 24	107 129
02/24/25	MIA ATL	211.8 -1.8	+102 -121	20 21	18 25	21 21	19 23	79 90

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Tags: Denver Nuggets, Miami Heat

March 15th, 2025

Denver Nuggets VS Miami Heat Betting Pick & Preview – 3/13/2024