The Ottawa Senators head into Sunday’s game in Dallas looking to bounce back from some recent struggles during their long road trip. Both teams enter Sunday’s play in the top four in their respective divisions and they will try to get an impressive win in Dallas here. Before this contest begins, you will find my Senators vs Stars prediction right here.
Our Senators vs Stars Pick
- Pick: Dallas Stars to win
- Confidence: ★★☆☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars
- Date & Time: Sunday, November 30, 2025, 6:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Senators vs Stars Odds
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | DAL –140 / OTT +120 |
| Puckline | DAL –1.5 (+170) / OTT +1.5 (–215) |
| Total | 5.5 goals (Over –130 / Under +110) |
Key Storylines
Recent form
The Stars are surging. Dallas enters the game having won three straight games. They have a 16-5-4 record overall and a solid 7-4-1 mark at home. They’ve also been excellent in tight games, with a 9-1-2 record in one-goal games this season.
Ottawa (12-8-4) has had mixed results on the road (6-5-2). The Senators have been competitive in close games (5-4-4), but they have lacked the execution in those key moments that the Stars have enjoyed. The last meeting between these clubs ended in a 3–2 overtime win for Dallas and Ottawa will try to be better in what could be a tight game here.
Goaltending
Linus Ullmark is expected to get the start for Ottawa in this game. Ullmark has been mediocre, with a 2.94 GAA and a .880 save percentage. Dallas’ goaltending situation revolves around Jake Oettinger. Oettinger has been slightly better than Ullmark this season with a 2.76 GAA and a .900 save percentage heading into this matchup.
Key skaters
On offense, the Stars rely heavily on Jason Robertson, who leads Dallas with 15 goals and 17 assists. Roope Hintz has also been a strong contributor recently for a deep Stars forward group. For Ottawa, defenseman Jake Sanderson remains a driving force on the back end with 4 goals and a team-high 15 assists this season. Forward Tim Stutzle is another key piece with a team-high 23 points going into this game.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson (DAL) | Over 1.5 points |
| Roope Hintz (DAL) | Over 0.5 goals |
| Jake Sanderson (OTT) | Over 0.5 assists |
| Tim Stutzle (OTT) | Over 0.5 points |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Dallas is 1-0 against Ottawa so far this season. There were five total goals scored in that game.
- The Stars are 9-16 on the puckline so far this season.
- Dallas is 12-13 in the over/under market for the year.
- Ottawa is 9-15 on the puckline going into Sunday’s action.
- The Senators have gone over the total 14 times in 24 games.
Senators vs Stars Model Projection
Score Projection: Senators 2 – Stars 4
Win Probability: Senators 28%, Stars 72%
Final Thoughts
Dallas has home-ice advantage and the upper hand when it comes to winning close games. I’m expecting the Stars to use those things to their advantage in this matchup to get a win on Sunday evening. I’ll take the Stars to win on the moneyline, though bettors with more risk tolerance may want to consider laying the puckline with Dallas.
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