Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers Game 3 Pick – 6/9/2025

With the series tied 1-1 and both teams claiming an overtime thriller already, bettors and fans will be locked in for Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Final between the Edmonton Oilers and Florida Panthers. My Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers prediction can be found below, as action shifts to Florida.

Our Oilers vs Panthers Game 3 Pick

• Spread: Panthers ML (-140)
• Total: Over 6.5
• Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Edmonton Oilers @ Florida Panthers
• Date & Time: June 9, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, FL
• Broadcast: TNT / truTV / Max
• Odds: Spread – Panthers -1.5 (+170), Oilers +1.5 (-215) Moneyline – Panthers -140, Oilers +120; Total – 6.5 (over +100, under -120)

Key Storylines

• Home ice impact: Florida posted a 27–12–2 regular‑season record at home and 4–3 in the playoffs.
• Oilers revenge: Edmonton is playing with redemption in mind after last year’s Game 7 loss in Sunrise and their 2OT loss in Game 2.
• Goalie matchups: Sergei Bobrovsky (.912 save percentage in the playoffs) offers consistency for Florida, while Stuart Skinner has been streaky but has played well down the stretch.
• Momentum swings: Both teams have won in overtime, including Game 2’s double-overtime winner by Brad Marchand of the Panthers.

Head-to‑Head & Betting Trends

• This series split 1–1; both games decided by one goal. Florida won the regular season series 2-0.
• Series odds lean slight edge to Panthers (-115), while the Oilers are at -105 to lift the Stanley Cup.
• Public money leans toward Oilers to avoid heartbreak, and Over six games in the series.

Best Player Props to Watch

1. Leon Draisaitl anytime goal (+130): Second in the 2025 playoffs in points with 29.
2. Brad Marchand over 0.5 points (-110): Recorded a shorthanded breakaway goal and scored twice in Game 2.
3. Connor McDavid over 3.5 shots on goal (+100): His playmaking led to three assists in Game 2. He took seven shots in Game 2.

Advanced Metrics & Trends

• High-danger shots: Edmonton leads playoffs with 146; Florida close behind with 123.
• Scoring & defense: Oilers top in playoff goals per game at 4.06, Florida third at 3.88; Florida leads in goals allowed at 2.29 over Edmonton’s 2.81.
• Special teams: Edmonton’s power play runs at 30%; penalty kill trails at 66%, while Florida’s penalty kill operates at 87.9%.
• Game flow: Both teams undefeated when leading after the first period (7–0); Edmonton slightly stronger after two (7–1 vs 7–0).

Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers Model Prediction

• Score Projection: Florida 4 – Edmonton 3
• Win Probability: Florida 52%, Edmonton 48%

Bonus Bets & Offers

• Fanatics Sportsbook Bonus: $1,000 no‑sweat first bet.
• Bet365 Bonus: $150 bonus or $1,000 first‑bet safety net with promo code.

Final Thoughts

This Game 3 moves the series back to Sunrise, where the Panthers have found consistent success. While Edmonton’s talent is undeniable, Florida’s depth, defensive discipline, and home crowd give them the edge. With Sergei Bobrovsky in top form and special teams heavily favoring the Panthers, the value lies on the home side. Expect a close, entertaining game that edges over the total.

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