Jay Sanin on October 20, 2024
Zack Moss projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns on Oct 20, 2024
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.2 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
Zack Moss has earned 48.5% of his team's run game usage this year, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs.
The Browns defense has produced the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 5.10 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 36.5% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a lowly 53.8 per game on average).
Zack Moss's 39.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year conveys a meaningful diminishment in his rushing ability over last year's 57.0 rate.
With an atrocious tally of 3.70 adjusted yards per carry (24th percentile) this year, Zack Moss has been as one of the weakest running backs in the NFL at the position.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's collection of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Zack Moss is projected to have 42.2 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.2 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
Zack Moss has run a route on 54.4% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.
The leading projections forecast Zack Moss to garner 3.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Zack Moss's 21.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season indicates a material growth in his receiving proficiency over last season's 15.0 mark.
The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a lowly 53.8 per game on average).
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.
With a subpar 79.5% Adjusted Catch% (22nd percentile) this year, Zack Moss rates among the most hard-handed receivers in the league among RBs.
Since the start of last season, the imposing Browns defense has yielded a measly 78.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 5th-best rate in the league.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Cleveland Browns defense has allowed the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing running backs: a measly 5.3 yards.
Zack Moss is projected to have 14.5 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
