Jay Sanin on October 20, 2024
Isaiah Likely projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Oct 21, 2024
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (42.7 per game) this year.
In this game, Isaiah Likely is anticipated by the model to finish in the 79th percentile among tight ends with 4.2 targets.
Isaiah Likely has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (40.0 per game) than he did last season (14.0 per game).
Isaiah Likely's 35.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 16.0.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 3rd-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Ravens.
Isaiah Likely's 72.9% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 82.1% rate.
Isaiah Likely's 8.2 adjusted yards per target this year marks a significant reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 11.3 rate.
Isaiah Likely is projected to have 33.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
The Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (42.7 per game) this year.
In this game, Isaiah Likely is anticipated by the model to finish in the 79th percentile among tight ends with 4.2 targets.
Isaiah Likely's 35.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 16.0.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.
With an excellent 3.0 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) this year, Isaiah Likely has been among the top pass-catching TEs in football.
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 3rd-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Ravens.
Isaiah Likely's 72.9% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 82.1% rate.
Isaiah Likely is projected to have 2.9 Receptions in this weeks game.
