Jay Sanin on October 20, 2024
Deshaun Watson projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns on Oct 20, 2024
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 45.6% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 8th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
Deshaun Watson has averaged 4.7 rush attempts per game this year, one of the biggest rates in the league when it comes to QBs (81st percentile).
At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on passing than their usual approach.
While Deshaun Watson has earned 20.7% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in Cleveland's run game in this week's game at 15.3%.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
Deshaun Watson is projected to have 4.5 Carries in this weeks game.
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on passing than their usual approach.
Right now, the 8th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been awful this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.
The projections expect the Browns as the 7th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Deshaun Watson to throw 26.8 passes in this game, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
The Browns O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
With a poor 59.9% Adjusted Completion% (6th percentile) this year, Deshaun Watson stands among the least on-target QBs in football.
This year, the daunting Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing squads: a meager 4.6 YAC.
Deshaun Watson is projected to have 168.4 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on passing than their usual approach.
The Browns have been the 5th-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.2% red zone pass rate.
Right now, the 8th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been awful this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.
The projections expect the Browns as the 7th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Deshaun Watson to throw 26.8 passes in this game, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
The Browns O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
With a poor 59.9% Adjusted Completion% (6th percentile) this year, Deshaun Watson stands among the least on-target QBs in football.
Deshaun Watson is projected to have 0.6 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 45.6% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 8th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
Deshaun Watson has averaged 4.7 rush attempts per game this year, one of the biggest rates in the league when it comes to QBs (81st percentile).
With a fantastic rate of 2.40 yards-after-contact (81st percentile), Deshaun Watson ranks as one of the leading running QBs in football this year.
The opposing side have run for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the league (151 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on passing than their usual approach.
While Deshaun Watson has earned 20.7% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in Cleveland's run game in this week's game at 15.3%.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
Deshaun Watson is projected to have 21.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on passing than their usual approach.
Right now, the 8th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been awful this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.
The projections expect the Browns as the 7th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Deshaun Watson to throw 26.8 passes in this game, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
The Browns O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
With a poor 59.9% Adjusted Completion% (6th percentile) this year, Deshaun Watson stands among the least on-target QBs in football.
Deshaun Watson is projected to have 15.1 Completions in this weeks game.
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on passing than their usual approach.
Right now, the 8th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
The projections expect the Browns as the 7th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Deshaun Watson to throw 26.8 passes in this game, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Deshaun Watson is projected to have 26.6 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on passing than their usual approach.
Right now, the 8th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been awful this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.
The projections expect the Browns as the 7th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Deshaun Watson to throw 26.8 passes in this game, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
The Browns O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Deshaun Watson is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
