Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
  • Overview
  • Props

Tua Tagovailoa Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Tua Tagovailoa projections and prop bets for Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans on Dec 15, 2024

Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Passing Yards 274.5 over: 110
  • Passing Yards 274.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 63.3% of their chances: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

In this contest, Tua Tagovailoa is projected by the projections to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 38.3.

With a fantastic rate of 283.0 adjusted passing yards per game (97th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa places among the top quarterbacks in the league this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.99 seconds per snap.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest clip in the league against the Houston Texans defense this year (62.3% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the stout Houston Texans defense has conceded the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a feeble 7.3 yards.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 8th-best in football.

Projection For Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop Bet

Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 282.4 Passing Yards in this weeks game.


Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Interceptions 0.5 over: -120
  • Interceptions 0.5 under: -108

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 63.3% of their chances: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

In this contest, Tua Tagovailoa is projected by the projections to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 38.3.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.99 seconds per snap.

The Houston Texans have intercepted 1.20 targets per game this year, grading out as the 2nd-best defense in football by this metric.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 8th-best in football.

Projection For Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions Prop Bet

Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 0.7 Interceptions in this weeks game.


Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Completions 25.5 over: -106
  • Completions 25.5 under: -122

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 63.3% of their chances: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

In this contest, Tua Tagovailoa is projected by the projections to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 38.3.

Tua Tagovailoa's 74.4% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a material growth in his passing accuracy over last year's 69.6% rate.

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.99 seconds per snap.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest clip in the league against the Houston Texans defense this year (62.3% Adjusted Completion%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 8th-best in football.

Projection For Tua Tagovailoa Completions Prop Bet

Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 24.9 Completions in this weeks game.


Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pass Attempts 36.5 over: -110
  • Pass Attempts 36.5 under: -118

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 63.3% of their chances: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

In this contest, Tua Tagovailoa is projected by the projections to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 38.3.

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.99 seconds per snap.

Projection For Tua Tagovailoa Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 36.7 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.


Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -132
  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: 102

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 63.3% of their chances: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 7th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (59.4% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Miami Dolphins.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

Tua Tagovailoa's 74.4% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a material growth in his passing accuracy over last year's 69.6% rate.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.99 seconds per snap.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest clip in the league against the Houston Texans defense this year (62.3% Adjusted Completion%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 8th-best in football.

Projection For Tua Tagovailoa Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 1.6 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Longest Rush
  • Longest Pass
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Throw An Interception
  • Total Passing Yards
  • To Complete First Pass
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Longest Rush
  • Longest Pass
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Throw An Interception
  • Total Passing Yards
  • To Complete First Pass
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Passing Attempts
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+4600
-
+4900
Consensus
-
+2100
-
+3000
Consensus
-
+3700
-
+4400
Consensus
-
+2600
-
+2300
Consensus
-1609
+942
-1630
+906
Consensus
-
+4300
-
+4700
Consensus
-
+1800
-
+2600
-
+4900
-
+4800
-
+2100
-
+2100
-
+4800
-
+4800
-
+2300
-
+3800
-
+1500
-
+1300
-
+3900
-
+3400
-
+1500
-
+1400
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
6
5
6
5
6
5
6
5
Consensus
-108
-125
-125
-105
-105
-125
-125
-105
-110
-
-125
-
-105
-
-120
-
-105
-125
-125
-105
-105
-130
-130
-105
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
37
38
36
35
37
38
36
35
37
38
36
35
37
38
36
35
Consensus
-120
-115
-117
-
-113
-117
-107
-
-119
-113
-118
-
-116
-119
-113
-
-123
-111
-115
-
-131
-115
-119
-
-123
-111
-113
-
-111
-123
-119
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-110
-110
-120
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-120
-110
-120
-
-115
-120
-110
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
22
23
23
22
22
23
23
22
Consensus
-131
-104
-127
-107
-132
-102
-129
+101
-137
+100
-133
+100
-137
+100
-137
+100
-135
-105
-130
+105
-125
+100
-130
+100
-
-106
-122
-
-
-115
-113
-
-130
+100
-125
-105
-140
+100
-135
-105
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
1
1
1
Consensus
-147
+111
-145
+111
-148
+112
-135
+106
-135
+120
-140
+110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
3
2
2
3
3
2
2
3
Consensus
+130
-188
+135
-185
+140
-190
+132
-185
+140
-175
+150
-185
+140
-185
+140
-185
+140
-190
+140
-190
+130
-190
+140
-175
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+6750
+9500
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
6
7
7
6
6
7
7
6
Consensus
-113
-104
-129
-115
-114
-106
-126
-111
-115
-101
-133
-119
-103
-103
-135
-121
-115
-105
-125
-115
-115
-105
-125
-115
-120
-105
-120
-115
-115
-105
-125
-115
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
+108
-132
+102
-140
+108
-132
+102
-140
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
242
246
241
243
244
247
248
251
249
250
245
253
252
48
47
246
249
247
241
250
251
248
242
243
244
245
252
253
47
48
242
246
241
243
244
247
248
251
249
250
245
253
252
48
47
246
249
247
241
250
251
248
242
243
244
245
252
253
47
48
Consensus
-114
-113
-115
-114
-113
-112
-116
-114
-105
-112
-112
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-114
-110
-113
-115
-114
-114
-114
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-113
-111
-113
-115
-112
-115
-116
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-113
-113
-115
-114
-115
-114
-115
-115
-113
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-108
-
-117
-117
-113
-
-
-
-
-117
-127
-117
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-123
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-108
-
-117
-117
-111
-
-
-
-
-117
-127
-117
-
-117
-
-125
-117
-117
-117
-121
-
-
-
-
-115
-105
-
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-120
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-113
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-113
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-110
-113
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-113
-
-113
-
-
-114
-
-113
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-113
-113
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-114
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-120
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
+225
-350
+225
-350
+225
-350
+225
-350
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
2
2
2
Consensus
+121
-146
+120
-151
+116
-160
+116
-160
+115
-150
+120
-135
+132
-174
+126
-165
+110
-155
+100
-140
+135
-165
+130
-180
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
253
258
257
256
255
260
254
252
259
262
261
251
259
261
256
253
257
255
258
260
254
252
262
251
253
258
257
256
255
260
254
252
259
262
261
251
259
261
256
253
257
255
258
260
254
252
262
251
Consensus
-112
-116
-117
-112
-116
-116
-117
-112
-116
-
-
-
-119
-
-116
-120
-117
-117
-116
-116
-117
-120
-
-
-112
-112
-116
-116
-116
-114
-112
-112
-116
-
-
-
-116
-
-117
-120
-117
-120
-120
-119
-120
-120
-
-
-109
-117
-117
-109
-117
-117
-109
-109
-117
-
-
-
-117
-
-117
-125
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-125
-
-
-109
-117
-117
-109
-109
-117
-117
-109
-117
-
-
-
-117
-
-117
-125
-117
-125
-117
-117
-117
-125
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
34
35
35
34
34
35
35
34
Consensus
-124
-112
-117
-104
-129
-117
-116
-104
-142
-109
-125
+104
-142
-113
-109
+104
-125
-110
-115
-105
-125
-115
-120
-105
-
-120
-108
-
-
-120
-108
-
-125
-105
-130
+100
-125
-105
-130
-115