Trey McBride projections and prop bets for Arizona Cardinals at Miami Dolphins on Oct 27, 2024
Trey McBride Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -145
- Receptions 4.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach.
In this week's game, Trey McBride is predicted by the projection model to place in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 7.7 targets.
Trey McBride's 25.7% Target% this year signifies an impressive boost in his air attack volume over last year's 20.0% figure.
The Cardinals O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Trey McBride rates as one of the top tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging an outstanding 5.5 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Right now, the 7th-least pass-centric team in the league (58.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Cardinals have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.0 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in the league.
This year, the stout Miami Dolphins defense has surrendered a puny 58.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 2nd-best rate in football.
Projection For Trey McBride Receptions Prop Bet
Trey McBride is projected to have 5.6 Receptions in this weeks game.
Trey McBride Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 49.5 over: -100
- Receiving Yards 49.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach.
In this week's game, Trey McBride is predicted by the projection model to place in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 7.7 targets.
Trey McBride's 25.7% Target% this year signifies an impressive boost in his air attack volume over last year's 20.0% figure.
Trey McBride has put up quite a few more air yards this year (54.0 per game) than he did last year (37.0 per game).
The Cardinals O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Right now, the 7th-least pass-centric team in the league (58.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Cardinals have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.0 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in the league.
Trey McBride's 3.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a remarkable regression in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 5.1% mark.
Projection For Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Trey McBride is projected to have 54.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
