Nico Collins MLB projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans on Oct 6, 2024
Nico Collins Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 82.5 over: -120
- Receiving Yards 82.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to pass on 59.4% of their chances: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The Houston Texans have called the most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 63.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Buffalo Bills defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (35.5 per game) this year.
In this contest, Nico Collins is forecasted by the projections to land in the 94th percentile among WRs with 8.8 targets.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Nico Collins's ability to grind out extra yardage has declined this season, totaling a mere 5.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.78 rate last season.
This year, the tough Buffalo Bills defense has conceded a meager 95.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the best in the league.
The Bills pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.24 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the fewest in football.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Buffalo's group of CBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection For Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Nico Collins is projected to have 81.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Nico Collins Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 5.5 over: -165
- Receptions 5.5 under: 125
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to pass on 59.4% of their chances: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The Houston Texans have called the most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 63.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Buffalo Bills defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (35.5 per game) this year.
Nico Collins's receiving skills have gotten a boost this year, averaging 7.3 adjusted catches vs a mere 5.2 last year.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Buffalo's group of CBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection For Nico Collins Receptions Prop Bet
Nico Collins is projected to have 5.7 Receptions in this weeks game.
