Najee Harris projections and prop bets for New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers on Oct 20, 2024
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 14.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 14.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
The leading projections forecast Najee Harris to garner 2.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among RBs.
Najee Harris's 12.2% Target Share this year signifies a material progression in his pass game volume over last year's 6.5% figure.
Najee Harris's 22.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season marks a noteable growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 11.0 mark.
Najee Harris's 7.3 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates an impressive growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 5.3 rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Steelers as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see only 126.4 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.7 per game) this year.
Najee Harris has notched a measly -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 25th percentile among RBs.
Najee Harris's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 84.7% to 76.4%.
Projection For Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 14.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 14.5 over: -108
- Carries 14.5 under: -121
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 48.8% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
In this contest, Najee Harris is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.8 carries.
Out of all RBs, Najee Harris grades out in the 83rd percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 50.3% of the workload in his offense's run game.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, New York's DE corps has been atrocious this year, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see only 126.4 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
Projection For Najee Harris Carries Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 15.7 Carries in this weeks game.
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 59.5 over: 120
- Rushing Yards 59.5 under: -155
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 48.8% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
In this contest, Najee Harris is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.8 carries.
Out of all RBs, Najee Harris grades out in the 83rd percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 50.3% of the workload in his offense's run game.
Najee Harris has grinded out 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in the league among RBs (80th percentile).
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, New York's DE corps has been atrocious this year, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see only 126.4 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
Projection For Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 65.1 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: 105
- Receptions 2.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
The leading projections forecast Najee Harris to garner 2.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among RBs.
Najee Harris's 12.2% Target Share this year signifies a material progression in his pass game volume over last year's 6.5% figure.
The Jets pass defense has been gouged for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (90.7%) to running backs this year (90.7%).
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Steelers as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see only 126.4 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.7 per game) this year.
Najee Harris's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 84.7% to 76.4%.
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, New York's unit has been excellent this year, profiling as the best in the league.
Projection For Najee Harris Receptions Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 2.1 Receptions in this weeks game.
