Kyren Williams projections and prop bets for Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Rams on Oct 20, 2024
Kyren Williams Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -115
- Receptions 2.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (62.4% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Rams.
The 7th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this week's game, Kyren Williams is expected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.7 targets.
Kyren Williams checks in as one of the leading pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a fantastic 2.8 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Rams are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Raiders, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.0 per game) this year.
Kyren Williams's 12.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 17.5.
The Los Angeles offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board.
Projection For Kyren Williams Receptions Prop Bet
Kyren Williams is projected to have 2.6 Receptions in this weeks game.
Kyren Williams Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 13.5 over: -140
- Receiving Yards 13.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (62.4% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Rams.
The 7th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this week's game, Kyren Williams is expected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.7 targets.
Kyren Williams's 94.3% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a significant gain in his receiving ability over last year's 68.1% mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Rams are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Raiders, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.0 per game) this year.
As it relates to air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in just the 17th percentile among RBs this year, with just -5.0 per game.
Kyren Williams's 12.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 17.5.
Projection For Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Kyren Williams is projected to have 17.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Kyren Williams Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 19.5 over: -125
- Carries 19.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The Rams are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
The 7th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).
In this week's game, Kyren Williams is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.1 rush attempts.
After accounting for 72.9% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Kyren Williams has played a bigger part in the running game this year, now sitting at 82.9%.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 10th-least run-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 37.6% run rate.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Las Vegas defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.
Projection For Kyren Williams Carries Prop Bet
Kyren Williams is projected to have 17.3 Carries in this weeks game.
Kyren Williams Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 89.5 over: -135
- Rushing Yards 89.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Rams are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
The 7th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).
In this week's game, Kyren Williams is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.1 rush attempts.
After accounting for 72.9% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Kyren Williams has played a bigger part in the running game this year, now sitting at 82.9%.
This year, the strong Las Vegas Raiders run defense has conceded a measly 5.36 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 30th-best rate in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 10th-least run-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 37.6% run rate.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Kyren Williams's 80.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a meaningful drop-off in his rushing ability over last season's 99.0 figure.
Kyren Williams's ground efficiency has worsened this season, averaging just 4.22 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.20 figure last season.
Projection For Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Kyren Williams is projected to have 82.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
