Justin Jefferson Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Justin Jefferson projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams on Oct 24, 2024

Justin Jefferson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 79.5 over: -136
• Receiving Yards 79.5 under: 104

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 131.1 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop.

The projections expect Justin Jefferson to accrue 10.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

Justin Jefferson has been a much bigger part of his offense's passing game this year (34.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (28.0%).

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.0 per game on average).

After accumulating 139.0 air yards per game last year, Justin Jefferson has undergone a big decline this year, now sitting at 114.0 per game.

Justin Jefferson's 79.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year shows an impressive diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 103.0 figure.

Justin Jefferson's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 67.7% to 62.5%.

The Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 118.0) to WRs this year.

Projection For Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Justin Jefferson is projected to have 88.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.

Justin Jefferson Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 5.5 over: -170
• Receptions 5.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 131.1 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop.

The projections expect Justin Jefferson to accrue 10.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

Justin Jefferson has been a much bigger part of his offense's passing game this year (34.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (28.0%).

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.0 per game on average).

Justin Jefferson's 5.4 adjusted receptions per game this year signifies a noteable decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 6.6 figure.

Justin Jefferson's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 67.7% to 62.5%.

The Rams pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (56%) to wide receivers this year (56.0%).

Projection For Justin Jefferson Receptions Prop Bet

Justin Jefferson is projected to have 5.7 Receptions in this weeks game.