Justin Herbert projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Chargers at Arizona Cardinals on Oct 21, 2024
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: 125
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -155
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
The Cardinals linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 123.9 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
In racking up a lowly 0.17 interceptions per game this year, Justin Herbert places among the leading QBs in the league (82nd percentile).
Projection For Justin Herbert Interceptions Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 175
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -225
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the NFL against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (77.2% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the poor Arizona Cardinals defense has been gouged for a staggering 1.67 passing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.
The Cardinals linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The projections expect the Chargers to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 51.9% red zone pass rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 123.9 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
Projection For Justin Herbert Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 12.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 12.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.5% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have run for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the league (155 per game) against the Cardinals defense this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 123.9 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
The leading projections forecast Justin Herbert to accrue 2.9 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 11th-fewest out of all QBs.
Justin Herbert has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (6.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).
Projection For Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 10.9 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 199.5 over: 100
- Passing Yards 199.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the NFL against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (77.2% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the anemic Cardinals defense has conceded the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a colossal 8.44 yards.
The Cardinals linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 123.9 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
Justin Herbert has passed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (170.0) this season than he did last season (248.0).
Projection For Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 226.8 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 3.5 over: -125
- Carries 3.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.5% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 123.9 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
The leading projections forecast Justin Herbert to accrue 2.9 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 11th-fewest out of all QBs.
After taking on 14.1% of his team's rush attempts last year, Justin Herbert has been called on less the running game this year, currently comprising just 6.6%.
Projection For Justin Herbert Carries Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 2.8 Carries in this weeks game.
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 27.5 over: -110
- Pass Attempts 27.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 123.9 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
Projection For Justin Herbert Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 30.3 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 19.5 over: 110
- Completions 19.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the NFL against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (77.2% Adjusted Completion%).
The Cardinals linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 123.9 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Projection For Justin Herbert Completions Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 21.4 Completions in this weeks game.
