Josh Downs projections and prop bets for Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans on Oct 27, 2024
Josh Downs Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -120
- Receptions 4.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
A throwing game script is implied by the Colts being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game.
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.7 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.
Our trusted projections expect Josh Downs to accrue 7.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
Josh Downs's receiving skills have been refined this year, notching 5.9 adjusted catches compared to a measly 4.0 last year.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Colts to pass on 53.8% of their chances: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Colts this year (a mere 53.7 per game on average).
This year, the strong Texans defense has allowed a puny 58.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 6th-best rate in football.
The Texans linebackers grade out as the 10th-best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.
Projection For Josh Downs Receptions Prop Bet
Josh Downs is projected to have 4.7 Receptions in this weeks game.
Josh Downs Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 40.5 over: -115
- Receiving Yards 40.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A throwing game script is implied by the Colts being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game.
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.7 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.
Our trusted projections expect Josh Downs to accrue 7.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
Josh Downs has been a more integral piece of his team's pass attack this season (26.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (18.2%).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Colts to pass on 53.8% of their chances: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Colts this year (a mere 53.7 per game on average).
Josh Downs has posted quite a few less air yards this season (37.0 per game) than he did last season (42.0 per game).
With a lackluster 7.1 adjusted yards per target (24th percentile) this year, Josh Downs rates as one of the worst WRs in the league in the league.
This year, the strong Texans defense has allowed a puny 58.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 6th-best rate in football.
Projection For Josh Downs Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Josh Downs is projected to have 55 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
