Joe Mixon projections and prop bets for Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers on Oct 20, 2024
Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -145
- Receptions 2.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 136.1 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average).
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The Texans offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
Joe Mixon's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 83.5% to 75.6%.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.
Projection For Joe Mixon Receptions Prop Bet
Joe Mixon is projected to have 2.8 Receptions in this weeks game.
Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 15.5 over: -113
- Carries 15.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 136.1 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average).
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
In this game, Joe Mixon is predicted by the projection model to slot into the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.9 carries.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.
The predictive model expects the Houston Texans as the 10th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 39.5% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Joe Mixon has been a much smaller part of his team's ground game this season (61.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (72.0%).
Projection For Joe Mixon Carries Prop Bet
Joe Mixon is projected to have 16.4 Carries in this weeks game.
Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 18.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 18.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 136.1 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average).
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
When talking about air yards, Joe Mixon ranks in just the 3rd percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling just -6.0 per game.
The Texans offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
Joe Mixon's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 83.5% to 75.6%.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.
Projection For Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Joe Mixon is projected to have 21.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 65.5 over: -135
- Rushing Yards 65.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 136.1 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average).
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
In this game, Joe Mixon is predicted by the projection model to slot into the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.9 carries.
Joe Mixon has grinded out 67.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the NFL when it comes to running backs (92nd percentile).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.
The predictive model expects the Houston Texans as the 10th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 39.5% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Joe Mixon has been a much smaller part of his team's ground game this season (61.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (72.0%).
Projection For Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Joe Mixon is projected to have 71.2 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
